Saturday, 14 August 2021

Observations

 1.  Cuomo.  I suspect if you went and ask Governor Cuomo about his situation....he'd tell you that he's utterly shocked at events, and that he's just acting the same way as he has for the past thirty years.....never grasping that he's been on the line of bad behavior for the whole three decades.  

2.  Kabul, Afghanistan.  Within ten days, I expect the city to fall.  US evacuation efforts?  By the end....they probably will manage to get 30-odd thousand people out of the capital by cargo planes.  President Biden?  He'll be unable to say much over this, and just avoid any mention.

3.  At some point in the next five years....we will end up finding half of the US states having education standards that mirror Bolivia of the 1960s.  No one will be able to explain the rational sense to this, and the US Army will admit it's hard to recruit when the typical 18-year-old kid can't read beyond the 3rd grade level. When you ask the kid about this issue....he'll ask why reading is such a big deal. 

4.  Maybe I'm wrong, but I'd start to suggest a food crisis starting up in China in the next month....with serious public discontent over how this developed.  Trigger?  Floods, Covid, and shutdown regulations. 

5.    The next official of the Biden administration to likely leave?  Homeland Security chief Mayorkas.  The job is beyond his expertise.  

Friday, 13 August 2021

Observations

 1.  With all the chatter going on about Critical Race Theory (CRT), I'll make the judgement and future prediction that ten-percent of white kids in America (particularly in urban environments) leave the public school, and either do private schooling or home-schooling.  The shock will be that they advance further by age 18, than they would have done via the public school system (suggesting that either the teachers are crapped-out, or the system was designed as a failure).

2.  The average cost of a 12-ounce Coke, bought at a non-cheapo place (like a interstate gas station) in the US....is now around $1.90.  

3.  Senator Rubio pushed up an idea of a zero-interest student loan deal.  You borrow $80,000.....you pay back $80,000.  Using normal conditions/rates, if you borrowed $80,000 and had a 4.6 rate, the twenty year period would involve you paying $510 a month for the period.  Amount?  $122k for the whole 20 years.  

To be honest, if you used his program, the 'kid' could finish up his $80k (if he had a valued degree) in 12 years without much trouble...maybe pushing himself to do it in 8 years.  

Course, I would add one stipulation....if you are getting a worthless degree, the government should limit the loan to just $25,000 max.  Telling the kid in a blunt way....you won't make more than $45k a year over the first dozen years....might be some harsh reality though....for some kids.  

4.  Did Joe Biden actually say the chances of the Taliban recovering and taking back over Afghanistan were unlikely?  Yeah, he did say that.

It would be interesting to ask him who in the CIA or Pentagon suggested that.

5.  Some folks in Baltimore tested some recent high school graduates (from June), and found that a fair number were only capable of handling reading/writing/math....down to the 2nd grade level (being HS graduates).  From the group tested....60 percent were at this level....only 10-percent were at the expected level.

The question I'd ask....why bother even hiring college-degreed teachers?  You could hire out-of-work bartenders or waitresses to do the same work.  

Another question....has anyone bothered to test the teachers in this crap?

6.  Finally. Wuhan is mostly all shutdown this week....the next wave of the virus hit.  I'll predict that as you get to summer of 2022....same shutdown occurs again, and locals start to loose serious confidence in the political system.  

Wednesday, 11 August 2021

My Oregon Story

 So I'll tell this story, and try to keep it simple.

Oregon went and had a legislative process.  A bill was drafted, and passed.  No ceremony was held by the governor, as it was signed.  Entry into the state legislative database?  Well....it only occurred two weeks later.

So what the bill says is that there will be NO process to identify a high school graduate as being able to read, write, or perform math (even adding two and two).

Nothing.

This goes into effect in the next school year, and stands there for five years.  So if you are 13 years old in Oregon today.....you can chill out and not worry about anything.  

I sat and pondered upon this deal.  The question is....why even bother attending school?  I could get a landscaping job and just mow lawns for the next five years, and not worry about attendance or learning anything.

In fact, I kinda wonder why you need college graduates as teachers.  You could just as easily hire transmission mechanics, waitresses, and retired professional baseball players to teach.

Was There Ever a Biden Strategy on the Border and Migrants?

 As each week passes, it becomes painfully obvious that what the Biden team developed was five to ten strategies....'roped-together', and never fitting into anything that President Biden could explain in front of the cameras without tripping over logic or himself.

Six months into this 'game'....the Sunday talk-show moderators can't even find a person from the insider group to really drill down and explain the various strategies at work here.

My general prediction?  As you get to spring/summer of 2022....the obvious failure of this multi-plan situation will be laid out and harm the Democratic message for the mid-term election. 

After November of 2022, I'll predict that President Biden brings a minimum of two new individuals in, and assembles a task force to get one single plan with three simple objectives....that he can explain in two minutes or less. Yes, a coherent plan.

As this period develops....at least half of the old insider crew pack up and leave the White House....frustrated because they can't agree with the simplicity of the new plan, or the end-result.  

Tuesday, 10 August 2021

Next Thing To Worry About

 I've sat and viewed at least two versions of this story via California regional news.

So....it revolves around this one California family, and a birthday party they held back around two months ago.  What the family says (I don't doubt them) is that there's some kid in the group at the party (14-year old boy)....that got Covid.  

However, this is not the normal symptom Covid.  The family says (even now 2 months later)....this kid is suffering from some sort of psychosis.  Now, for the benefit of folks who aren't familiar with psychosis.....typically, you see things which aren't real.  Yes, hallucinations. 

Typically, most of us who've seen folks in this situation....will say that drugs in some way play a role.  But in this case?  Covid-19?

The local medical folks?  They don't seem to be getting into this situation.  Either they don't believe the situation, or they think there is some other cause involved.

So I sat and pondered.  

I've had Covid, and other than the fever period where I felt like crap....I didn't have any psychosis.  However, my fever never got above 100 (trust me, I checked at least four times a day).  Generally however, if you were getting up to 102 or above....you can have a bout of delirium (kids and teenagers are noted in this group a lot).  

The problem I see here....if you started to see a trend where teenagers got Covid at a higher rate, and went into some delirium/psychosis stage....it'd beg a lot of questions on length of this period, and how recovery goes.    

Sunday, 8 August 2021

What Did Landlords Learn After the Eviction Drama of 2020/2021

 I suspect over the next hundred days.....two things will come up and be a sort of 'lessons-learned' experience.

First, I think landlords are going to be extremely tough on knowing the future rental clients, and ask for a complete background check.  It won't be a 100-percent of them, but I would imagine around two-thirds of all landlords will be checking the past history.  If you were part of this no-pay crowd?  You probably won't find that many landlords willing to give you a fresh new chance.   

Second, something of a legal nature is going to be added to rental contracts....where you sign for a 'damages-clause', and if you fail on rent for an excessive period (probably four months)....you agree to a fee (maybe up to $1,000 or more) to be paid as a settlement upon eviction.  

The rental properties of value?  Those landlords will not be happy over the losses, and this will be a harsh new reality for the renting crowd to get used to over the next decade.  

So to this final prospective of mine....I think the mobile-home properties will start to be fairly popular with the eviction crowd.  You will find a cheapo $6k used trailer and park it for less than $200 a month, in a crappy trailer-park.  

Ten Things That Don't Make Sense

 1.  The idea of a mandated vaccination digital passport being 'Ok'....but a mandated ID (either plastic, or digital) for voting not Ok?

2.  The idea that 25-percent of your daily news is 'gut-America' being well received?

3.  The continued fake-use of the word 'bipartisan' in politics?

4.  Geraldo Rivera looks the same today, as he did in 1991?

5.  If you asked a thousand people what the Watergate incident was about....only about 30 of them can answer that question. 

6.  News on CNN would cease to exist if the House/Senate took a two-month long no-work period, and all were forced to exit DC (go home).

7.  Probably over 30-percent of Americans can name the governor of NY (Cuomo) but not name their own state governor.

8.  There are now more people portraying hypocritical-fake behavior than genuine behavior.

9.  If you had a public poll over trust....with only the CDC, and FEMA.....FEMA  would likely win by a score of two to one.

10.   There's just as much interest in Charles Manson today....as in 1969.  Nothing has lessened.