Friday, 15 April 2022

Yeah, About Twitter and Elon

 One way or another.....Twitter will controlled by Elon Musk when the smoke clears.  he'll either own ALL of the company, or 51-percent (my humble opinion).

What'll happen then?  My seven predictions:

1.  The top level of management will be paid off and will walk out the front door.

2.  Twitter will end having some type of free-deal, premium-lite deal (probably $5 a month) and some Premium-extra deal (probably in the range of $25 a month).  

3.  I don't see the name of Twitter lasting.  I think within days....Elon will re-name the organization.

4.  Staying in California?  No.  I think Elon will announce their movement to Texas or some 'friendly' state within 30 days of ownership.  It's possible that Nashville might even get the company.  

5.  Who really quits?  I would suggest that around sixty-percent of the employees are NOT juvenile-behavior adults, and would prefer to work for Elon.....more than the current management.  

That said....I think one-third of the employees will immediately find 'cause' to leave in an abrupt way.....only to discover that they aren't that highly valued in the market at present.    

Some mental health folks will be brought in to assess and help the freaked-out folks....creating a new 'safe-zone' (Musk-free).  This behavior will be considered a problem for future employment with any company. 

6.  California tax losses with Twitter possibly leaving the state?  It'll be openly discussed, and trigger several other companies in the state to review their necessity to stay.

7.  Twitter probably will not survive as a public company (with stock), so all profits will fall into Elon's hands.  Prior to this point....the company paid no dividends....so it was not really that profitable for the entire past decade.

Under Elon, avoid California taxes, and cutting salaries at the new location....I see Twitter making a fair amount of profit.  

So to my final assessment.....there are certain people who've play the game 'Monopoly' enough....that they have an internal strategy and can play at the maximum level possible....even as a 12-year-old kid. Elon has walked in and maxed-out on these skills.  He knows every single angle of commerce....banking, and public messaging.  As smart as the Twitter current management may think they are.....they probably can't match Elon's skill-level.

Musk will win in the end....no matter how this is played out.  

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