Saturday, 7 March 2026

Four Observations Over Iran

 1.  If you wrote a list of the top 400 Iranian national authorities (Mullahs included)....roughly 90-percent are dead as of today.  So I'd say....there is chaos brewing and a whole new crew thrust into jobs they probably aren't qualified for.

Their question?  Who do I surrender to?

2.  Trying to make the 'war' last six months (to the US mid-terms)?

I believe from whoever is still in power....this is the only goal left.....to hurt Trump enough.  Oddly, the same goal might exist for the Democratic Party itself.

But....this logic goes to the 1980s strategy....the 8-year war between Iran/Iraq.  

In that war....Iraq had around 3 strengths going into the conflict....with a dozen weaknesses....same for Iran.  In this case....US Admirals/Generals are playing the idea of making every marginal strength that Iran has.....into a collapsing weakness....in a matter of days.

3.  Fronts?

I'm of the mindset....there will be four fronts developing (shocking Iran's generals).  Kurds in NW.....Pakistan mounting a minor  limited front on the NE (carrying out defense obligations with Saudi Arabia)....US Marines on the far south (near the Hormuz area)....and some US Army front. 

Toss in Israel special operations personnel.....the war (at best).....lasts around ten days.  

4.  The biggest loser of the war?  

The UK.  

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