The Hillary Scenario

 This week, Hillary quietly gave a signal that she's contemplating a run in 2024.

So first, it's basically Hillary versus Joe versus Newsom of California. 

Will Joe run?  Most suggest not....there's just no way to tell.  

If this were only a Hillary versus Newsom script?  Well....lets start in Iowa.  Neither gets much traction....same way in SC.  Maybe in NH....Hillary wins.  In Nevada, it's clearly Newsom.

My gut feeling is that it'd be a 60-40 primary, with Hillary walking into the convention without enough votes to win the first round.  Whether she can climb out of the pit or get dumped when she did get 60-percent of the primary deal?  Unknown.

If Hillary were to advance?

Then you have the Trump or DeSantis versus Hillary situation.  Frankly, I just don't see the Democratic voters being that hyped up or positive on her campaign.  If this were a 2016 script (Trump versus Hillary)....to which Hillary loses again....I think the whole Democratic establishment would fall apart and drag everyone through a massive stressful four years.

I go back to something I said in 2016.....some people like to fantasize  that about another Bill Clinton era, and you get that via Hillary Clinton.  No.....Hillary is simply not another Bill.  

So, settle back and be entertained.  Maybe we need a Trump versus Hillary campaign to reset politics once again.  

Marginal Relief

 So it came out this week that California legislative folks and the governor (Newsom) agreed to a $17 billion package that is geared in some way for inflation relief. Of this, $9.5 billion goes to the public. 

Now before you get excited....if you were a Californian....it's ranked.  Minimum you get (early 2023) is $200....most is $1,050.  

How can they swing this?  Well....they are number nine in the nation on taxes....roughly 9.7-percent of what you make....goes to the state.

Inflation affecting everyone?  Yes, but the money is ranked.  So if you made up to $75k a year in salary....you'd get $350 per tax-paying couple...then $350 for each kid....capping at $1,050.  

Next level up, you get $250 in this scenario....capping as well.

Does the $1,050 potentially change your life?  NO.  

That's really the crappy part of this story.  If you follow inflation in California....just in fuel prices....you probably are paying around $1,000 extra per year, if you own two cars.  Count up your energy bill, groceries, and oddball things....it is probably over $3k in extra cost.

I'm not condemning the offer....but it's because of the hefty tax...that they have some money to throw around.  

Trying to suggest it's some great relief?  Well...it's like baking a cake for your neighbor, but having no icing on it...as you present it.  

Observvations

 1.  It's just odd on this 6 Jan hearing business.....the longer it goes on....the more I see it as the Warren Commission....mostly there to make you think of a certain outcome, whether true or not.

2.  NY Times says that President Biden is frustrated with the amount of questions over him running in 2024.  The questions that he refers to?  The ones coming from within the Democratic Party.  Amusing to some degree.

Rare Gem of a Movie: Idiocracy (2006)

 Around five years ago, I watched a Science Fiction piece called 'Idiocracy'.  In the past month, I went back and watched it a second time.  I would strongly recommend it for viewing, but for odd reasons.

The basic story?  Joe has been recruited by the Army and some mad scientist to test a suspended animation chamber....with a hooker as the second participant. 

The mad scientist gets arrested shortly after the experiment starts.

So Joe and Rita end up sleeping through to 2505.

What they wake up to....is 100-percent 'WOKE' behavior....everywhere.  Anything you could have imagined in 2006 to put into a script....is there and shows the general society of today....barely sixteen years later (instead of 2505).

Yes, it is cheaply done.  Yes, the script is stuff that a 12-year old kid would write.  But everyone is plain woke, and not able to function in a normal society....except Joe and Rita.

If you can find the video and give yourself about 90 minutes....it's an excellent bit of entertainment.  

Ten Things I Believe Today

 1.  For the entire past decade, every movie that Bruce Willis did....almost fifty of them....involved no more than forty lines of text.  I think his mental decline was already showing itself back in 2012 and his 'handlers' were picky on the movies he did and how much dialog was required.  

2.  IRS data shows that NYer's who left in the past two years....took around 30-billion dollars of wealth with them.  Well....the IRS data is only legit and declared wealth....I would imagine that it's double the 30 billion dollars if you talk hidden wealth.

3.  By the end of 2023, I expect the federal 'red flag' law to be declared mostly a failure.  Chief reasons?  At least 300 ex-wives who used the red flag law in some effort to screw the former husband.  Several states will simply state that it was unworkable in reality.

4.  Think tanks in the US will be openly fighting each other....in the public square and via legal means by the end of 2023.

5.  The jury for the Parkland School shooting deal will end with a hung-jury.  The second attempt will not occur until the fall of 2023.

6.  One single charge will be attempted by the Justice Department before December 2022....on Hunter Biden...in an attempt to prevent a massive investigation in 2023 by the new House (Republicans).  It'll be enough to get him 18 months of prison.  Dad will pardon him by the 6th month.

7.  Around 2,000 current school teachers nationally, will get a note in mid-summer that their services won't be required because a vast number of kids are going to private school or home-school in the fall.  These teachers will be shocked at the limited job opportunity and some national crisis will occur where the administration promises some financial help.

8.  More than 20 respected business and political figures will be exposed by Maxwell by the end of 2022.  Pictures will be included.  

9.  Joe Rogan will be pushed off Spotify by mid-summer 2023, for political positions taken.

10.  Some studio will announce that they are reviewing options to present 'Gunsmoke' in a updated TV series, with a female marshal and a gay deputy.  

Trump's Second Term

 "So far, Trump’s second term has been a huge success. He has several major SCOTUS victories, looks better than ever compared to Biden, and the Jan6 theater just went full Jussie. You can’t win harder than that."

-- Scott Adams

Well....yeah, basically from 2021 on.....Trump has officially been on some weird 2nd term, and affecting everyday life in some way.

The 6-Jan folks (whether accidental or intentional)....have become a opera-like situation....mostly for entertainment.

You throw in Hunter's antics, Hunter's artwork, Pelosi's husband, the doomed effort of CNN-Plus, Joe's chatter, and around three-hundred-odd comedy bits....the past eighteen months have been a circus show.

In some ways....our distrust and frustration-levels have reached a point where we'd just like to mute politics for 365 days.  

My Five Favorite Trump Hoaxes

 1.  Bleach - Covid hoax.

2. Hooker pee hoax.

3.  Russia hoax (probably 20 items to fit under this umbrella).

4.  Russian bounties hoax.

5.  Lunge hoax.  

The problem is....once you start, there's probably forty different hoax stories, and as each develops....there's an element which seems slightly possible.  Then a month later, you realize it was 'BS'.  

These hoaxes occurring with Joe Biden?  Not so much....most cannot be proven as a hoax, so they end being mostly true.