Thursday 29 April 2021

Can You Gerrymander in 2021/2022?

 It appears that around eight states will have to redraw district lines in the next 18 months, with some losing a district in the state, and some gaining a district.  

So, here's the chief problem....up until 2016, you could be pretty sure about the voting tendency in various towns and counties....leading the guy to draw the lines being confident that he could make the new lines iron-clad for the Democrats....or Republicans.

Now?  You have to wonder about the voting tendency from 2016 and 2020, and ask yourself how sure the lines can be.

In some cases....particularly Florida....it's going to be awful hard to redraw the lines and ensure Democratic districts stay Democratic.  

The odds of court challenges delaying the district drawings?  I would suggest virtually all of the states in the redrawing business will face court action.  

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