In the past ten days, if you pay attention to MSNBC or CNN....the folks are already talking past the mid-term....to 2024. 1,075 days? Yeah....it's that far away.
The necessity? Well....I think the Einstein-crowd has figured out....Joe Biden can't run, and any hope of VP Harris regaining some popularity is now gone.
The three folks I'd figure to be in the Democratic Primary: Mayor-Pete, Stacey Abrams, and Senator Booker of NJ.
Mayor-Pete will survive through twenty-odd primaries, but from the first four (that truly matter)....pretty much zero chance of winning any of those.
Abrams and Booker figure heavily into NH, SC, Nev, and Iowa.
We come to the new chatter....that Michelle Obama will go out in 2022 and do a few 'talks' (like Hillary Clinton was famous for) in urban-magnet places (I figure NY City, SF, Chicago, and LA).
I think political players will ask what office she's ever held, and she's in a lower position than Mayor-Pete. If you went to resume material? I can't think of a single President or VP, from the past two-hundred years with such a dismal resume.
If she had left DC in 2016 and done the Hillary route (gotten a NY Senator job)....it'd be different.
So we have a person with a 3 x 5 inch index card resume, and simply gives speeches. Yes, she was married to Barak, but that really doesn't say much.
On the Iowa-SC-NV-NH route? There's just a 1-percent chance should carry one single state, and most cases....she'd likely finish in a 3rd or 4th place.
I turn and face the CNN/MSNBC crowd, and just stand there....shaking my head. You might as well start a rumor that Oprah will run, or maybe Colin Kaepernick. In Iowa-SC-NV-NH for those two? It's a one-percent chance as well.
If you ask me....Joe might as well run a 2nd time.
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