My prediction of the future:
1. Businesses. Most all big companies (Wall Street, insurance and banking) will relocate out of the city. You will already see evidence of this in the spring of 2021.
Most employees will be working out of their homes, and meeting every two to three weeks at some site (probably not NY City) with a face to face of division chiefs, for four to eight hours of discussions. The chiefs will have a face-to-face with their teams once a month, again at some remote site. You can figure towns like Myrtle Beach, Dayton, Indianapolis, Orlando, etc....will see mini-conference center business jump in a major way.
2. Restaurants. Seventy-five percent of big-name restaurants in NY City will disappear by spring of 2021. Same with bars.
3. The subway system. By spring of 2021, the subway folks will admit that business is off by sixty-percent, and cut-backs of rush-hour traffic is announced. An emergency plan is routed to the mayor detailing a 50-percent cut-back on weekend traffic for the subway system.
4. Illegals in the city will be half of the normal situation.
5. Musicals and Broadway shows will go through a harsh cutback.
6. Tourism by the end of 2021 is forty-percent of the norm. Some big-name hotels discuss plans to convert to condo operations. Some 3-star hotels by spring of 2022 are offering month-long deals averaging $60 a day.
7. Several networks discuss plans to vacate the city.
8. Properties which were listed last year for $1.5-million....will be running in the $500k range by summer of 2021. Several big name real estate people with mass holdings....will be near bankruptcy by the end of 2022.
9. Without the tax revenue....the police and fire departments are to be cut by 30 to 40 percent by 2024.
10. Chinese and Russian millionaires arrive in NY City by the end of 2021, and scoop up hundreds of properties as investment opportunities. By 2025, they discover that the value has continued to slide and the value is half of what they paid originally.
11. The Mets (MLB team) are openly discussing by 2022 the idea of relocating to Nashville. As they vacate and leave, the Knicks start a discussion of relocating to Nashville in 2024.
12. The metro NY population by the end of 2022 is at 14-million (down 4-million from 2019).
Saturday, 22 August 2020
Friday, 21 August 2020
A Waiver Story
I sat and read over Tennessee news yesterday. This school district (outer regions of Nashville) had the plan worked up for Covid-19 and virtual school.....meaning the kids stayed home, and the teacher would 'broadcast' her 'show' when they went into a lockdown situation.
HOWEVER, the school sent the kids home with a waiver that had to be signed....stating that the parents would NOT watch the virtual school 'show'. If the parent violated that 'trust'.....then the 'show' would be turned off for that kid.
I sat and paused over this. Naturally, a lot of parents from this district asked questions. Why would watching the 'show' be of any consequence? Course, if you were doing more indoctrination or brainwashing....than actual teaching, then it might matter.
Basically, whether it was intended as a positive matter or not....they've invited a discussion over what the heck they are teaching, and creating a long-term trust issue.
HOWEVER, the school sent the kids home with a waiver that had to be signed....stating that the parents would NOT watch the virtual school 'show'. If the parent violated that 'trust'.....then the 'show' would be turned off for that kid.
I sat and paused over this. Naturally, a lot of parents from this district asked questions. Why would watching the 'show' be of any consequence? Course, if you were doing more indoctrination or brainwashing....than actual teaching, then it might matter.
Basically, whether it was intended as a positive matter or not....they've invited a discussion over what the heck they are teaching, and creating a long-term trust issue.
NY City Voting in 2020?
In 2016, Hillary Clinton collected 579k votes from the Manhattan area. With a fair number of people having left the city....my humble bet is that Joe Biden will be lucky to get in the 300k vote range.
DNC Convention Ends
I sat and watched the end of night four for the Democratic Convention (skipping night three entirely).
Joe standing there, with VP Harris, and the two spouses.....hands raised. All wearing masks. Just a weird scene to view.
Some kind of low-key music. No crowd on the interior....maybe forty folks around the stage.
Outside, maybe a hundred vehicles in the parking lot, with some cheaply done fireworks,. It was one of those scenes that you'd put in a Monty Python movie.
Tons of money saved with this virtual convention, but it has no charisma or charm. The Bill Clinton speech? Probably the better of the 'acts' of the four-day period.
Joe standing there, with VP Harris, and the two spouses.....hands raised. All wearing masks. Just a weird scene to view.
Some kind of low-key music. No crowd on the interior....maybe forty folks around the stage.
Outside, maybe a hundred vehicles in the parking lot, with some cheaply done fireworks,. It was one of those scenes that you'd put in a Monty Python movie.
Tons of money saved with this virtual convention, but it has no charisma or charm. The Bill Clinton speech? Probably the better of the 'acts' of the four-day period.
Thursday, 20 August 2020
Your Odds
1. You have better odds of having an accident where you hit some Chinese-tourist at 3 AM in Dothan.
2. You have better odds of getting attacked by a bear.
3. You have better odds of getting struck by lightning while painting your barn roof.
4. You have better odds of Auburn betting Alabama by a score of 70 to 7.
5. You have better odds of finding a single PhD-educated Republican single gal (age 40) who drinks beer from the bottle, smokes unfiltered cigarettes, and does her own brake-jobs.
The Super-Secret Trump Destruction Plan For Mail
I'm going to present the super-secret plan in full detail:
1. All postal boxes will be removed completely. Then all sorting machines will be disconnected.
2. Mail will be dumped into canvas bags and delivered to a Utah warehouse, where it'll be bulk-loaded onto cargo planes, to be flown into China.
3. Once in China, 66k US-hired Chinese will sort the mail manually. With a 9-week delay built into the system, your ballot will be still in China in February of 2021.
4. This is all hush-hush, and only known by President Trump, the Postmaster General, and Trump's barber.
(fake news)
1. All postal boxes will be removed completely. Then all sorting machines will be disconnected.
2. Mail will be dumped into canvas bags and delivered to a Utah warehouse, where it'll be bulk-loaded onto cargo planes, to be flown into China.
3. Once in China, 66k US-hired Chinese will sort the mail manually. With a 9-week delay built into the system, your ballot will be still in China in February of 2021.
4. This is all hush-hush, and only known by President Trump, the Postmaster General, and Trump's barber.
(fake news)
Wednesday, 19 August 2020
Democratic Convention: Night 2
Basically, with the clips added up....I watched a total of about 60 minutes.
Four observations:
1. There's a real problem in generating hype and enthusiasm compared to a normal convention. As they emerge out of this week, I seriously doubt that they get more than 2 or 3 points of a gain, and within a week....that's gone.
I blame the digital way this was handled.....you just can't generate hype.
2. Bill Clinton speaks? Well....in a minor and short way. They should have given him twice the talking time.
3. Jill Biden's speech? I give it three stars.
4. After everything wrapped up.....they came back around to viewers for night #1....where it lost a quarter of the audience from 2016.
They need some magic to really pull up the numbers at this point.
Four observations:
1. There's a real problem in generating hype and enthusiasm compared to a normal convention. As they emerge out of this week, I seriously doubt that they get more than 2 or 3 points of a gain, and within a week....that's gone.
I blame the digital way this was handled.....you just can't generate hype.
2. Bill Clinton speaks? Well....in a minor and short way. They should have given him twice the talking time.
3. Jill Biden's speech? I give it three stars.
4. After everything wrapped up.....they came back around to viewers for night #1....where it lost a quarter of the audience from 2016.
They need some magic to really pull up the numbers at this point.
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