Monday, 25 September 2017

Politicization: A New World Order

It used to be that you could wander through an airport and not feel politicization. Today?  You'd feel it.

It used to be that you could go for a haircut down at the local barbershop and not feel politicization.  Today?  The barbers will be talking politics and hyping this agenda or that policy, or have the TV set to such-and-such network.

It used to be that you could attend church without feeling any politicization.  Today?  The minister will quietly hype up such-and-such agenda, and some deacon will come over after service to invite you to a special coffee meeting where positions will be laid out on localized voting.

It used to be that you could to to a dentist, and have a good cleaning done....without feeling any politicization.  Today?  There's a fifty-fifty chance that some idiot dentist will harp on such-and-such political position while he's checking your teeth.

It used to be that you could attend a funeral for a neighbor who departed this Earth....without feeling any politicization.  Today?  You have to worry about the minister talking up the dearly departed and some political agenda....or you have to worry about six folks wanting your position on tax reform while chatting about Bob's list of sins before passing.

It used to be that you could watch NFL football, without feeling any politicization.  Today?  Once the national anthem starts feel some agenda going on.

It used to be that you could attend some family reunion or Thanksgiving dinner without feeling any politicization.  Today?

It used to be that you could marry someone and feel kinda sure about their lack of political hyped nature.  Today?  Both your wife, and your Friday-night liaison gal.....might be anti-Trump folks.

The list goes on and on.  Your landscaper, your hairdresser, your mechanic, your muffler guy.....all might be politicized.

Where does that really leave you?

NFL and the Fake Economy

I sat and looked up the average cost of a Chicago Bears ticket...$131 for 2016.  For the Green Bay Packers, it's $94.

So you figure the ticket....a car-ride into a parking lot next to the stadium with your buddy.  The cost of the parking lot?  $20.

Then you figure the beer for the game.....the food....the fan-sweat-shirts....etc.  You will spend near $230 by the time you figure fuel.  If you and your buddy stayed overnight in Chicago....toss on another $180.  That's a minimum of $400 for that game attendance.

All of this goes into some pot of revenue.  At the stadium tossed the $230 into their pot.  Some of it goes to the peanut guy....or the beer lady.  Some of it goes to the rest-room clean-up crew.  Some goes to the security folks. Some goes to the stadium construction bond deal.  Some goes to the Chicago Bears owners.  And some goes to the forty-odd players and their fifty-million in player salaries.

Are the Bears worth the forty-million in player salaries?  Last year, they won three....and lost thirteen.  Most people would argue that they could have done the same number of wins with a ten-million dollar salary limit....mostly with rookies.

So you start to look across the NFL.  Thirty-two teams.  Close to a billion in salaries.

Is this a fake economy?

At some point, people will wake up and ask some questions.

If you put the Chicago Bears up on a CBS Sunday viewing....the network needs to make X-amount of money to make this deal with the NFL worth the effort.  Profit is discussed. The teams need a take on the contract.  Forbes says that the NFL makes around $3.5 billion off it's TV contract....which is shared down to each team.

As long as the TV contract continues on, and the bulk of fans are willing to pay $130 for a Chicago Bears ticket.....this economy would make sense.

If the TV audience drifts away?  Let's say that 33-percent of the fans say adios and won't watch.  That means that the NFL would only take around $2.5-billion of the TV revenue.  Let's say that the Bears can only fill sixty-percent of the majority of their home-games.  At some point, the owner has to turn and face the $50 million in salaries pro year, and suggest a ten-percent cut.

TV sports analysts will laugh and say that this will never occur.  I suspect that six months later....the ten-percent cut will be evident throughout the whole league.

So the economy of this whole gimmick?  You have to wonder the NFL economy really that stable?  Let's say a second year passes, and another ten-percent cut occurs.  By this point....a typical Chicago Bears ticket will be down to $100 (instead of the $131).  We start to reach a point where we discuss this entire business approach and the NFL economy.  Are the Bears really worth $1.09 billion?  No.  They probably aren't worth that.....except by the Forbes imaginary value assigned for something that has no concrete reason to be worth $1 billion.

Now, you start to get to an interesting the total value of the NFL league at $30 billion?  You begin to view snowball simulations and realize that we've valued things in a false way for over forty years.  There's nothing on paper that really says in a concrete way that the Bears are worth a billion.  It's just an imaginary situation.

That should worry to some far we've come in a capitalist society....putting a billion-value on forty guys who probably can't win more than three games out of sixteen.