Wednesday 17 June 2020

Odds of a Civil War?

Three months ago, I would have put such an event into the 'never-will-happen' category.  Today?  50-50 odds.

Basically, it'd require an event where a large crowd (say a political rally) would occur, and 500-odd Antifa folks show up, and some roughing-up of the non-Antifa folks occurs.

Some folks would retreat to their vehicles....pull rifles and pistols out, and a brief (hour-long) 'war' would occur. 

The Antifa folks would show some weapons of their own, and the police would simply pull back to observe both groups.

In the end, you'd have around 300 people either dead or seriously wounded.  The rally folks chasing the Antifa 'kids'?  More than likely, and the police would attempt to protect them.....then receiving gunfire from the non-Antifa folks.

Media chatter would get out, and 10,000 locals would likely arm up, and go looking for Antifa 'escaping' out of the area....stopping them in cars, and shooting anyone who went defensive in nature.

In a matter of twelve hours, this situation would cross the nation, and suddenly get various groups armed and on patrol. 

The police?  They are built to handle law-respecting situations, and likely won't volunteer to take mayor or governor orders to halt the conflict.

In a matter of ten days, with truckers refusing to deliver food or gas....the nation would be in some massive doom-or-die scenario.  Roadblocks would be established and people would be told to respect state borders (don't enter), and chaos would reign. 

This is a ridiculous scenario, but things have unfolded in the past month where disrespect and lack of leadership on dozens of levels....have made it a possibility.

Shutdown of universities?  That would also be part of this whole episode.

It's crazy, but a lot of things have occurred to make civil war now a potential item of discussion. 

What Trump's EO Includes

In the lesser discussed part of this recent police-related executive order is this little piece....he encourages the police (nation-wide) to include mental health professionals when dealing in a situation involving a homeless guy/gal, or a drug addict, or a mentally unstable person. 

So this means that a professional will be hired somewhere in the chain, and they will be involved in the 'processing' of these people.

The big hint?  If you were threatening folks on the street, and the mental health guy is there to asses you....he's going to write a report, and it goes to the judge involved (and the prosecutor)....suggesting that 'nutcase Larry' go and spend 30 days in a evaluation program.  If 'nutcase Larry' can't focus or live in a stable environment....he won't be getting out.

Maybe prosecutors and judges can still fake their way out of this, but I would take a guess that thousands of homeless folks and mentally unstable folks.....are going to be headed to state facilities....one way or another. 

In one simple move....Trump put a 700-pound guerrilla in the room and facing prosecutors and special agenda people. 


Prison Time Ahead

The investigation into the Atlanta Wendy's arson continues.  The cops are now looking for this gal.  Strong suspicion that leads to her. 

The gal in question...probably will open social media this morning and look at the image.  She'll call a lawyer, and the guy will advise her to quietly give herself to the police, or spend the next month waiting for the cops to appear at her doorstep....in full riot-gear, with a news team covering the arrest.

The sad thing here....I'm guessing, she has a degree, and a regular job (either a teacher, or university staff person).  She spent four years in a lousy college....owes a fair amount of debt, and now has to figure a way around a arson charge.  If she crossed a state-line?  That's another federal charge while participating in a riot. 

In Georgia?  Arson requires a fine (up to $50k), and a period of prison for 1 to 20 years.  I would be guessing that she's looking at a minimum of ten years in prison for this little act of stupidity.