Monday, 4 November 2019

Was There Ever 27 Candidates in the Running Within the Democratic Primary?

Officially, on paper, yes.

Officially, ten have now withdrawn.  We might as well admit that from the 17 listed...at least twelve of them ought to go ahead pull out at this point. 

So, there's really only five with any odds?  More or less....true.  Warren, Sanders, Biden, Mayor Pete, and Yang.  I know....most folks aren't giving Yang much of a chance, but if you look at college students....he's generally mentioned by them.

If you pulled out the Obama-hyped-up-intensity measure scale....do any of these folks pull a '9' or '10'?  No.  That's a curious thing about the remaining group.  But we can admit that Hillary probably never pulled more than a '7' on the Obama-scale either.

Who might get blacks to come out and vote?  It's limited (I would suggest) to strictly Biden and Warren. 

Small-town and rural Democrats?  No one in this group really charms the rural Democratic voters, and that's a problem in the primary. 

I would suggest that when the 50 primary situations are wrapped up.....at least 10-percent of the 2016 primary vote count will be missing in this upcoming election. 

So in the end, you have Trump with a tough election to lose?  That's the amusing thing about this election, and why I think Hillary could still arrive at the convention....fresh and ready to go, and make this a little bit interesting.