Sunday 5 July 2020

Just Observations

1.  Kanye West running for President?   Yes....announced yesterday.  All fifty states?  He didn't exactly say that.  If I were guessing, he'd go to the 15 most black-populated states, and get onto the ballots there.  To be honest, in most states....you need to have a couple thousand folks sign you up, and that's probably the biggest stumbling block to his candidacy.

Does this matter?  He's intending to say he's the black candidate.  So if you were BLM, or pro-BLM....you'd have to vote for him.  Naturally, it takes votes away from Biden and the Democrats.

Will this change much of anything?  Black voter impacts are usually in the south, and Trump had those states locked down.  It's states like Ohio, Michigan, New Jersey, and Virginia that I might wonder about.

Guessing the impact?  The McMuffin-character in 2016 took around 750k votes in 2016....so I'm guessing with some effort and a little bit of cash flow, West ought to take double that (1.5-million range).  Course, there is this question of California, and he might actually take a million votes there, and Trump might gain a million votes there (over 2016 numbers)....suddenly, California might be close to a Trump win.

2.  It's just curious....so many people angry and frustrated with America....that they don't pull out a map and pick some pleasant country to go to.

3. The strategy that BLM/Antifa and the path ahead is more about intimidation....than some national cohesiveness?  Walk into any middle-class neighborhood and explain this.....people start laughing.

4.  Does the black vote matter?  If you use the statistical data and say that a state with 20 percent of population is black (meaning a higher chance of influence), then there are only 8 states that meet that threshold.  Alabama, Delaware, Maryland, North Carolina, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi, and South Carolina.  Twenty-five states have a percentage of 10-percent or less....meaning their effect on the state vote is marginal.

5. My argument about peaceful protesters....if a 100 show up and 3 of them destroy things and set fire to cars, what does it say about the 97 who simply stand there and watch? Are they still peaceful, or are they intimidated to do nothing, or just don't care?

6.  As college starts up shortly....I'm just wondering how many assaults occur on Trump-kids, and legal problems ahead for colleges to defend.