Senator Elections in 2024 That Might Flip?

 1.  Arizona, with Sinema (D).  Democrats might run a serious primary against her. She marginally won in 2018.  

2.  California, with Feinstein (D).  I seriously expect her to retire prior to that election, and the Governor likely to name either himself, or London Breed (SF's mayor) to fill, and then run in 2024.

3.  Florida, with Rick Scott (R).  He needs some help, but big question....who can the Democrats drag up to run against him.

4.  Indiana.  Republican marginally won the last election.  

5.  Michigan's Stabenow (D).  Will be a tough race, and various people being discussed. She won with 52-percent in last election.  

6.  Missouri's Hawley (R).....marginally won with 51-percent in last election.  

7.  Montana's Jon Tester (D).....marginally won the last election.  He hasn't said intent yet.  Likely to be a new D coming out to the primary.

8.  Texas. Ted Cruz (R) marginally won his last election (51-percent).  I am expecting Beto coming to run for the seat again.

9. Vermont.  Bernie Sanders.  I think he will retire at the end of 2024.  New face appearing.

10.  West Virginia's Manchin (D).  I think he will stand down, and very likely for a Republican to win this race.

Observations?

 1.  Trump running?  Well....he stood and talked about three things (mandating a ID for all election matters, same-day voting, and paper ballots).  

Here's the thing....if you went to a group of independent and Republican voters....all three would be regarded as a 'must-happen' thing.  I suspect even around working-class Democrats....they'd agree on the voter ID mandate.  

Again (just like in 2016), he picks topics that attract the bulk of voters.  

2.  General belief on this missile that landed in Poland (killing two farm workers)?  I think the Ukrainians fired it....to halt incoming cruise missiles.  

3.  It just seems how hard it is to get Covid-treatment drug Ivermectin.....but then you can ask for chemical castration drugs for your gender flip.....with hundreds of doctors ready and willing to give you the castration drugs....even if you were twelve years old.

4.  If you were working for big-tech at the beginning of 2022.....you probably are evaluating your resume at present, and finding future moves to be fairly limited.

5.  As FTX (the crypto guys) prepare bankruptcy paperwork.....it has to list every single account and how much each had.  A lot of people probably don't want that information to be shared out.

6.  The CNN stress?  With Trump announced.....the question is....do you go back to the normal formula of 2016 to 2020, and be the anti-Trump network?  With the lowest viewer numbers of the past decade....it's hard to imagine them flipping back to the old ways.

7.  Hollywood on fire about Trump?  Well.....yeah.  But it just begs questions....if you get yourself all 'flamed-up' over this and infuriate roughly half of potential audiences....what's your job potential from that point on?