Thursday 19 January 2023

NZ's Prime Resigns?

 Anything to take out of New Zealand Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern resigning?

Well....back in 2017....her party won the election and she entered as the new PM.  When Covid arrived in early 2020....she hyped-up a lot of harsh mandates.  

From Jan 2021....on her party was sitting in polls at 48-percent, and leading over all other parties (the number two party was around 27-percent in polling).

By Jan 2022....her party had fallen to 40-percent in polling (mostly angry voters over Covid mandates)..

By this month (2023)....her party sits in 2nd place at 32-percent.  Based on trends....had she stayed and kept the theme going....they would have been near 25-percent when the election comes up in the fall. 

The opposition party (the National Party) has a 8-point lead.  

What you can say is that what good will that Arden had.....diminished month by month, and she really could not grasp the negative effect, with it all leading back to Covid practices.  

Trump, Facebook/Meta, and Twitter

 If you follow the news....Trump now says he wants his old FB account turned on.  Basically, all of the reasons given to dump him off FB originally....are now problems because of the FBI allegations and fake chatter stirred up.  

I'm guessing to please the tech employees (more of a cult group than actual employees)....the Z-man will say no, and some court case will develop.  My guess is that it'll revolve around Florida courts, and end up at the Supreme Court by late fall.  It'll be hard for FB to win this.

As for the idea that he'll return to Twitter?  His team will take on the account and speak for him....via Twitter. 

Going toward spring of 2024 and primary season?  I'd say three obvious things:

1.  Biden needs to be out of the picture entirely....his brand/message....even if he's not running will be a problem each day for the Democratic candidate (likely Newsom) to handle.  

2.  If you thought 2016 and 2020 were hyped-up....you haven't seen anything yet.

3.  All of the 'tricks' used in the five 'bitter' states in 2020?  Well...they've been seen and noted....so repeating the same 'tricks' is going to be next to impossible.  

Social media in 2024....will matter.