This Republican Effort to Deny Trump Standing?

 If you wrote up a list of the top 500 Republicans (governors, Representatives, Senators, AG's, etc), you'd find that around twenty-percent of them have angled toward anti-Trump theme over the past six months.  In their mind, the public needs to move on and not be some concentrated on Trump.

I've spent a fair amount of time thinking over this problem (at least with this twenty-percent group), and come to five central observations:

1.  The pro-Trump voters want someone who obviously knows business, commerce, taxes, and trade.  To be kinda honest, the party has never had anyone who'd fit into this side of life....they produced a bunch of lawyers who weren't that gifted into the knowledge that Trump had.

You can pull out the front-page of the Wall Street Journal and circle the top ten stories of the day.  Trump could be brought into a room, and asked on the ten stories, and have a general fundamental view of the story and give you an idea of what's going on.  Bill Clinton, George Bush, or Barak Obama?  Nothing.  

So there's this disconnect from the professional lawyer-politicians, and the general Republican voting group.  The enthusiasm is never going to return.

2.  Trump could see some criticism leveled at him by any number of Democrats, and within ten minutes....form his own counter-criticism back.  From the current group of Republican-wannabes-for-President?  Not a single one is capable of performing that action.  

3.  Pick up the top fifteen platforms that Trump had in 2016 and 2020....then ask these 500 Republicans at the top.....can you match the same platforms?  There will be an awful lot of silence, and some will admit....well, yeah....they could support ten of these.  The wall business....the tough stand on China trade?  No....none of them will go to that extent.

By limiting their positions....they just aren't capable of getting public support.

4.  Cornering the news media?  Over the past twenty years....the news media attached itself to a biased position or signed onto fake news.  Ask yourself....who from the 500-odd Republicans can stand against this type of 'mess'.  

5.  The emergence of frustrated voters....who just want to start firing people within the government?  This is part of the whole story as well, and if you lined up the 500-odd Republicans coming after Trump?  Well....you just won't find anyone who seems capable or desiring of firing folks. 

So as much as new brand 'dump-Trump' seems to be uttered by various Republican 'fakes'....they have mostly identified themselves as the ones who probably need to be dumped or fired.  

The emergence of non-lawyers in the future for Republican candidates?  I suspect this trend will continue.  

Explaining Moore's Law

 It's not a commonly discussed thing but it's worth two minutes to think about this situation.

Back in the mid-1960s....this smart guy, Gordon Moore, who was into electronic circuit development....sat down and did some calculations.

He looked at developments over the past decade, and then forecasted where things were going into the mid-1970s.  His prediction?  Knowledge and development were doubling roughly every 18 to 24 months.  

This idea just being circuits or electronic in nature?  Most folks have taken literally everything and applied Moore's Law into it (medical development, cars, cellphones, etc).

Here's this odd development with Moore's Law.  You can reliably project that whatever knowledge you are given in a four-year college, is probably dumped for the most part within five years after getting out of school.  Maybe the analytical part is still around, and the basic strategy to view things is there....but the rest of the $120k of cash-paid knowledge is zeroed out.

So there is this way of viewing this....that four years of a college is pretty much worthless, and it's probably been that way since the 1980s.  

The guys who graduated college and became teachers in 2000?  Well, unless we are talking English literature or grammar....their knowledge level from 2000....has been exceeded a minimum of five times and their value as teachers might be half of what it was a decade ago.  

Just something to think about.  

What Existed Prior to Facebook and Twitter?

 To put this into prospective....Facebook came along in 2004, and probably didn't become a big deal until 2008.  Twitter?  It came along in 2006, and became a big deal in 2008's election cycle.

To be honest, if you wanted news prior to 2008....you watched cable TV and got a dose of radio news on the way to work, or returning home each night.  A lot of people forget that era before FB and Twitter.

We existed fairly well...without either App, and to a great extent.....the news received didn't really make itself into a big deal.

If both Twitter and FB went away tomorrow....would it radically change things?  I'm not sure about that.  We might go back to the local newspapers, and stress would likely go down a notch or two. 

Why This Enormous Effort to Bar Trump From 2024?

 For several weeks, I've been pondering over the massive amount of effort and 'bridge-burning' being conducted....to find some single way of barring Donald Trump from the 2024 election.

Normally, to have such a major win (7-million-plus votes across the nation)....there's just not any reason to 'fear' any scenario relating to Trump.

Total votes (even for third-party folks)?  158,383,000 votes.  Twenty-two million 'new' votes over 2016, and twenty-eight million 'new' votes over 2012.  

Compared against 2016: 136,669,000 votes.

Compared against 2012: 129,085,000 votes.

Compared against 2008: 131,313,000 votes

Now, if we are saying that the 158-million number can't be sustained? Well, that would be different.  The odds, unless we continue with mail-in voting? Maybe it can stay near this level.

But you just look at front-page action since the first week of January, and it just seems like 50-percent of all Democratic Party Chatter is centered still on Trump.  

Keeping the suspense up?  Eventually, even moderate Democrats will ask if you can't move on....does that mean that Trump will forever be the 'pain' that Democrats must suffer.

I sat through a analysis piece over the weekend....talking about two particular districts on the far west side of Texas....that shocked folks with a lot of Latino votes that occurred for Trump (more than what was expected).  While the two Democratic Representatives did marginally win....both now point out that the feeling in the region has shifted, and Latinos seem pretty solid in that area for Trump.  If some conversion occurred nationally....with half the Latino population solid votes for Republicans?  That really messes up the future of the Democratic Party.

It's just something I ponder about....so much effort, no fence-mending, no pursuit of the future without Trump somehow messing up their business.  Just a pretty weird game underway.