Ten Observations Over Covid-19

1.  It's getting painfully obvious that the virus was around way before December 2019.  With the Barcelona sewage water tests....someone in the city back in March of 2019....had bowel movements, and crapped out into the city system.  They kept samples of the water for that particular week and can see this via lab tests. 

So you'd have to assume some Chiense tourists....probably from March time-frame (2019) already had the virus and was traveling around with it.  You might even be able to do a time-table for this and suggest that the lab problem occurred in late 2018. 

2.  Did the leadership authorities only find out about this in December 2019?  No one can cite any factual evidence to support this. 

I would make a humble observation that the local medical folks and political folks around Wuhan kept this whole problem quiet for at least six to twelve months. 

3.  A 'Jesus' vaccine existing to save everyone? 

Because of the anti-bodies business....I'd suggest that the vaccine that does get pushed out the door....will marginally protect you for four to six months, and you'd have to repeat it often.

4.  The cruise business dying off?

If they don't return to a state of normalcy by mid-2021....then I'll suggest a month by month bankruptcy problem starting up.  You can play this 6 to 12 month 'stall', but as you get into 2021....either business starts up or they all start to fail.

5.  Suicidal numbers will begin to creep up as the holiday season approaches and lock-down/shutdown behavior is the norm.

6.  The little-guy businesses in California and NY City....are dying off.  Covid-19 just speeded up the process. 

7.  Musicals and plays on Broadway?  Prepare for a long drought....maybe two to three years before anything starts to show up.

8.  Social Security pay-outs are going to radically change over the next five years, with more and more older folks dying from Covid-19.

9.  Eventually, someone is going to sue NY state for putting Covid-virus folks into the rest-homes of NY state.  It may take five years for the cases to conclude, but the state is going to have to look for ten-plus billion to pay off all the families that 'suffered'. 

10.  A major population shift is going to occur in the next ten years, and Covid is only one of the five ingredients to this shift.  Southern states will gain probably over 20-million in population as 2030 arrives.  California and NY will lose big-time. 

The 'Ghost' Boost

Normally, after a convention ends...you get a 'boost'.  Maybe three points....maybe even five points. 

So today, the poll folks came out and said that the Democratic Convention ended, and what Joe Biden got in terms of a boost....was zero....more or less.

Blame?  No one discusses this part of the strategy, or if the Convention was seriously flawed.  You can't even say that Joe Biden is at fault.

Normally, there would be a message, which the Convention would lay out, and people would feel enthusiasm.  So that simply isn't there. 

A problem in November?   

BLM Sign

Sometimes, a simple picture says a thousand words.  Car lot fire in Kenosha, Wis....after the riot started up.

RNC: Night 1

I spent about 70 minutes this morning looking at clips.  My observations:

1.  Senator Tim Scott gave a 12-minute speech, which I'd rate near 5-stars. 

2.  They allocated three minutes to Herschel Walker, who I think gave a pretty good speech.  It would have better to give the guy triple that time.

3.  The highlight speech for the evening was this St Louis couple who defended their home, and got charged up by local Democratic authorities.  They got four minutes to say their piece and it probably hurt Biden's middle-class support by what they had to say. 

Overall, from what I saw....it was a good opening night.  At least they did have a crowd in the arena...although numbering less than 200 (social distancing) from what I could observe.