Monday, 23 August 2021

That 31st of August Deadline in Kabul

 What the Taliban has said, in a blunt way.....on the 31st of August....the last of the Americans and NATO folks must leave, period.  That's nine days from today.

So the question is....what type of consequences then occur?  

I have three scenarios in my mind:

1.  Total cutoff of the runway, with no one entering, under any circumstance....other than flying in.

2.  A demonstration of missile launchers on the 1st of September, to ensure the Americans get the message.

3.  Full scale attack on any American military or NATO military members at the airfield.

So what's really left now?  

President Biden has to conclude this mess....one way or another by the evening of the 31st.  This idea of bringing 200k to 300k Afghans out?  Gone, unless you did some massive airlift.

The Americans left?  Some suggestions exist that 30,000 might be in the country.  I  generally discount this 'rumor', and I doubt if there are more than 1,500 Americans left.

If impeachment or the 25th Amendment were to come up....it'd be roughly a week after the conclusion of this event.....as long as no hostages existed.