What Happens After the November Mid-Term Election?

 With my crystal ball, I'll predict ten things:

1.  There's a 40-to-45 seat flip....Republicans winning. 

2.  Various journalists will remark that the 6 Jan hearing business had zero effect on the election.

3.  President Biden will have a statement, then drop from public sight for about a month.

4.  Fear will start up that House hearings over Hunter, and past issues will start in January.

5.  Fauci will be dragged in and some hearings will expose issues....triggering him to be considered for dissmisal.

6.  At least two cabinet secretaries will be dragged up for issues.

7.  BLM/Antifa events will be planned and carried out in 2023. Significant up-tick in violence, with no attention by the FBI.  

8.  There will be fewer appearances by VP Harris.  In certain words....she'll admit she doesn't want the job of replacing Biden.

9.  Scheduled visits to Iowa will be talked about a good bit....with most democratic candidates not getting any status.

10.  Reflection by some journalists will dwell on a marginalized list of accomplishments for Biden over a two-year period.  Most of first quarter 2023 will be dragging this up almost daily.  

Q-and-A

 1.  Odds of Joe Biden running again?

Well...November mid-terms will be a message over his brand, and he can't readily (in January 2023) change the brand/message.  By the time that the Hunter hearings start up and President Biden has to issue a pardon to get Hunter 'free'.....the position for the 2024 run will be ended (expect this message around July 2023).  

I would also suggest that VP Harris will state the same thing around four weeks later, in that she also will not be running. From that point on....this administration has marginal function or contribution. 

2.  In the past year or two....the quote 'detached-from-reality' has been used too much?

Actually....you could probably utter it for one-third of society now.

3.  President Biden having popularity ONLY in 2 states?

Yeah, Vermont and Hawaii....only two states where the numbers say good (over 50-percent).  

In Ala, approval among 18-to-34....is marginally at 20-percent....with 64-percent disapproving.  

4.  If you build a red-flag system that says 2-percent of American society is unsafe, and mentally unbalanced...is this a guns-only discussion?

Well....no, if you say 500,000 people are unsafe or present some threat to society....these are people with severe red flags, and probably cannot be trusted in public, or allowed to vote, or allowed to fly on planes, or allowed 'credit'.  In simple terms, we'd need a massive discussion which a large portion of people aren't willing engage upon.

5.  What was the deal for Ohio and allowing teachers to be armed?

Well...originally, they passed a law requiring 728 hours of training.....to be given permission to carry a gun into a school.

Now, you can sit there and think about this.  Air Force boot-camp had a simple 8-hour training session, and at the end of the first four hours.....you did a series of fire-and-reload exercises, then fire off forty-odd rounds.  At that point, they gave you a card which said you were 'certified'.

Marines will argue that they had three or four days, but note that it was mostly run-drop, and fire exercises (something Air Force people aren't capable of doing).

How you would mix in 728 hours?  It adds up to 91 days of some type of training.  No one from Ohio can really defend this logic.  Maybe they were using muskets and reloads took 90 seconds for each round (my Marine associates might argue on this).

Anyway, they had another discussion in Ohio, and voted to change the 728 hours down to 24 hours (probably still three times the amount that military guys require).  But the logic here.....the military guy isn't looking for options in his situation....he's just loading and trying to ensure the target doesn't get up.  

That Image

 

I hate to admit this....but every time that CNN, or WaPo, or Fox brings up the 6 Jan 'Insurrection'.....this image comes to my mind. 

I don't know the guy....if you asked me to assign some status to him....he's some guy who probably frequents flea-markets....buys crazy gear for costume parties, and just happened to think....what the hell, I'll go to DC for 6 January.

Image for an insurrection?  Well.....if you were on this hearing committee and thinking I take much of this serious....then the image pops up....then 'NO'....I can't take the insurrection chatter serious.

If anything....I'd ask if he remembers anything from the day.  

Orioles Baseball Team To Leave Baltimore For Nashville?

 Well....in social media circles....this chatter has started up....mostly off a comment made in a courtroom....last week.

The jest to all of this?

2005 was the last time that the team had over 30k tickets sold for local games.  In fact, since 2017....the team hasn't gone over the 20,000 level per game.  Right now for 2022....they are averaging around 16,000 fans per game.

If you were trying to measure 'thrills' for this team?  Well...it's a mix of cheaper players and rookies.  They haven't been able to have the revenue....to participate in real four-star players.

The idea of having two-million fan-tickets sold each year?  Most locals would agree that those days are gone.

The ballpark?  Camden Yards?  It was finished in 1992 and is 30 years old.  It is a unique design and probably could serve out for another decade.  

Why Nashville?  Metro-Nashville is 1.3-million....if you go Greater-Nashville, it's at 2-million, and from central Tennessee in general....it's probably near 3-million.

The script for this 'move'?  I think at the end of 2022....the team will note that they rank around 13/14 out of the fifteen clubs in the league.  Mid-way through 2023's season....I think the team will just say that's it....the financial incentives of Baltimore make no sense.  

Add into this....downtown Baltimore is only 'safe' because of a massive amount of police action.  People come to the game....then quickly leave the area....the city crime problem is making the baseball gimmick marginal in terms of attracting folks.

So talk will start up at this point in 2023....building a new baseball park in Nashville....probably to be finished by 2025, and the team arrives.  

Baltimore to beg the league for a new team?  Maybe, but there's no sense to this.  

Another Gin For Everyone

 I watched about 15 minutes of episode II of the House hearing on the 6-Jan business.  I stopped and did a long pause.

There was a moment in this 'theatrical-show' today where I started to imagine an actual set of circumstances existing between 6-Jan chatter and the old Trump/Russia gimmick (actually hoax is more appropriate).  

Both lean on some perceived accusations and both eventually come to some perceived conclusions of guilt.

Oddly....both events (6-Jan/Trump-Russia)....require a normal viewer to dedicate probably 500 man-hours to associate data, and feel some conviction one way or another.  Frankly, most of us have real jobs....church meetings....bowling leagues...fences to paint....kid-lectures to emphasize...whiskey-moments, and demons to fight.  

Lot of hyperbole?  Well...yeah, that becomes painfully obvious.

Could we have a hearing dedicated to the fake Trump-Russia gimmick and really explain how the hoax came to be?  No.  That would draw up more perceived accusations, and more perceived conclusions of guilt.  

(Just shaking my head....another gin for everyone at the bar)