How I Think The Trump 'Game' Will Play Out

 Charges will occur over handling classified.  Court appearances for this won't occur until probably first quarter of 2023.  

One charge will be used and eventually stick with some type of conviction....with no jail-time.  Term of felony conviction will be used.

So by the end of 2023, as Trump would start to prepare for the primary period of 2024....at least eight states will have legislation that a convicted felony guy can't run (figure both California and NY state into the group of eight).

A group of at least twenty states will then come to say that if you decline Trump on the ballot, then there is no election for President possible, and offer the idea of no Presidential ballot period (meaning not Trump or the Democratic contender).

From the remaining twenty-odd states, this becomes a crisis period as they openly discuss the matter of invalidating the Presidential election.  

Under my scenario....the Electoral College situation falls apart, and the states send their delegations to January of 2025.....to vote state by state....where Trump wins.  

At least five states then contend that it's time to part ways as a nation, and the conflict just intensifies.  

The Next Trump 'Trap'

 Between now and the mid-term election....I expect the FBI to show up and arrest Donald Trump.  

The questions then become....just how much suffering can the FBI handle.....will the Secret Service then isolate their people in the jail to protect him....and how Biden can share his non-involvement when no one believes him?

A stupid mistake?  On a scale of one to ten....I'd say a '15'.

Why all this necessity?  I think that the Democratic National Committee has evaluated the potential for 2024, and realize that they have no one who can compete at Trump's level, and if there was any gimmicks used in 2020's election....they'd be hard-pressed to repeat the gimmicks in 2024.  Removing Trump as a player....is the only option.

The bigger problem?  If you were a Republican but a never-Trumper.....you are pressed into a hard position for your election chances for 2022's mid-term.  

So, my humble view....within 75-odd days....Trump will be arrested by the FBI.  

My 'Secret' Adventure (Exercise)

 In the 1987 timeframe, I was sent off to a exercise to be held in Honduras.  Note, I was not a volunteer, and the office was forced to send one guy.  This was some kind of headquarters element, of which intelligence was just one component of seven  groups.

So to get the orientation....I had to fly from my Panama base....to some Air Force installation in central Florida.  On a Sunday afternoon, we flew in and faced some storm that kept us in the air for an additional forty minutes (flying circles).  

Monday morning at the base, we all (probably 700 individuals total) walked over to the base theater for the initial briefing.  It was rather simple....sign a log and hand a copy of our orders over.  

General so-and-so got up and gave a six minute speech....mostly blah-blah-blah stuff.

Then the major got up to talk about living conditions....these were Vietnam War-era canvas tents.....no AC....snake issues existed, and chow was mostly a 2-star situation.  Luckily, we'd only be there six days total.

Then the intel guy stood up and gave some presentation to explain why we were there.  Out of a 20-minute presentation.....there was marginally two slides which had some identification of 'secret' stuff.  My own opinion was that it was marginally secret, and it could have been worded differently to just avoid any secret stuff.  (note, I'd been in the intel field for 7 years at that point).

Then came the pause, and a break.  To which, we discovered.....other than an empty Coke-machine in the theater lobby.....there was no liquid refreshment.  

As we assemble and sit for the next part....there's a problem.  The security guy got all hyped up.  Basically, he could not vouch for anyone's clearance, and the whole presentation done by the intel guy was a problem.

They then led all us out.....spent 30 minutes trying to get a print-out of our clearances, and then spend about 75 minutes trying to get all us cleared, and given some kind of badges.  At this point, it was lunch, and they released us.

More or less.....two hours of the morning wasted.

We wasted Tuesday in the same fashion, and on Wednesday morning....did some kind of deployment line inspection before hoping on some cargo plane to fly into Honduras.  

Among my group of forty-odd intel guys (shift A/B)....we had these two Army guys.  I referred to them as 'Frank' and 'Marty'.  Neither one were intel, and on a IQ test level...neither would have scored above a 90.  Not to say they were stupid....but they just weren't that bright.

Their purpose in life?  At the end of each shift.....they'd take classified waste out to some barrel and burn it.  

Yes....a whole eleven hours around, and other than that last hour at the burn-barrel.....they just sat around.

The final day of the exercise....it ended in a abrupt fashion.....probably half-a-day early.  Frank and Marty stayed behind to burn everything left.  

Exercises for the most part of my career.....were just wasted time, but it gave some satisfaction to the generals that they were capable of conducting a war.  In some ways, I view the Russian business in the Ukraine in the way that they were marginally having exercises for decades, and it was all built around some WW II experience. 

I Took A Covid Compliance Test

 Results?

1.  Gotten a Covid test?  PCR test.....zero.  The cheapo mini-test?  Probably over forty occasions...none ever positive.

2.  Worn a mask?  OH YEAH.  The Germans hyped this to the max.

3.  Been vaxed?  Yes.

4.  Been vaxed twice?  Yes.

5.  Never walked opposite the Covid arrows in the store?  To be honest, never paid attention to them....I probably walked the wrong path over 300 times.

6.  Kept family away?  No.

7.  Been upset at unmasked people?  No, not really.  I might have spent 8 seconds praying for them.

8.  Driven with a mask on in the car?  NO. 

9.  Waited in a three-hour line?  HELL NO.  Even when Covid did not exist....I refused to wait for anything longer than 30 minutes.  I just don't have patience like that.

10.  Cancelled an event?  No.

11.  Stayed indoors for a week?  My max is maybe 48 hours of indoor activity (mostly because of weather).  

12.  Sprayed groceries or wiped them?  NO.

13.  Posted some social media about a positive test?  NO.

14.  Believed what I was told by the authorities or media?  Well....in the first 30 days...100-percent belief.  By day 90, I'd say my skepticism level was maxing at a '5' (scale of 1-to-10). By day 200, my skepticism level was maxing near a '8'.  

15.  Wearing the same mask more than 40 hours?  I kept one mask in my jacket pocket for all of 2021, using the same one for probably 160 hours (when in stores or riding the bus).  Effective nature?  Probably near zero by the half-way point.  I'm pretty sure that 20-percent of all men did the same thing.