Tuesday, 27 June 2017

The Jail Topic

There are a thousand ways that a guy can go off to jail.  Typically....the vast majority of us (working middle-class slugs)....avoid those thousand ways.  In my entire life....I can only think of three folks I was associated with (in high school, via the Air Force, or met up with on a personal level) that ended up going off for some jail-time.

I sat today and was reading the account of this Virginia student....Andrew Spiels....who decided to go out and registered a number of dead folks to vote.  Eighteen registrations as the judge finally figured out.

Total time handed out: 100 days in jail.

Will he actually the time and get some worked-out deal to just be probation?  If I were betting on this....I'd bet he doesn't spend more than seven days in jail.

The thing about this is that he had know that this was fairly illegal, and yet did it anyway.  He claims he didn't partner up with anyone....this was his own situation.  I have doubts about this, but the judge doesn't intend to press on this issue.

A problem later in life?  If he ever got into government service....there's going to be some review and this will pop up.

But this all falls into the thousand ways that you can get sent off to jail.  Most of us aren't that stupid to go and register dead folks to vote.  Most of us aren't that stupid to go and write bad-checks.  Most of us aren't that stupid to go and rob a bank.  In the end....this kid is simply a reminder of this line you need to avoid.

CNN Fake News?

I sat and watched this piece done on CNN and it's fake news episode covering Trump.  It leaves a bad taste in your mouth but I would suggest that you sit and watch the piece.

Basically, as much as they say commercialism has not spoiled the news....it's simply not true....commercialism pays the bills and ensures the survival of an overload of journalists.

The sad thing is that CNN's efforts make them appear to be marginal news people, and more to being just cheerleaders for some agenda.

The guy doing much of the talking?  John Bonifield....a supervising producer. More than 10 years with CNN.  You get the opinion that he kinda dislikes the whole commercialization of news but it's the only way to pay for his lifestyle.

So, all this CNN hype for the past five months?  Fake?  Yeah.  The Russians?  Fake.  Collusion?  Fake.  The only non-fake thing are the commercials that run between the news bits.

Sunday, 25 June 2017

The Chromosome Story

I am to some degree....fascinated by DNA and associated topics.  Over the past couple of months, I've been on a fair amount of reading about chromosomes.

You probably don't remember the pitch by our high school science teacher.....but humans have 23 pairs of chromosomes....totaling 46.  Apes have a total of 24 pairs of chromosomes....totaling 48.  What makes the key difference is that missing chromosome situation....but oddly enough, it's not really missing.  On the rear of 2nd row of the human chromosomes.....is the missing chromosome group....'fused' neatly onto the end.  In a way, it's not really missing....it's just slightly altered.

So this week, I came to this 'new' odd story (it's been around for seven years).  The Chinese have found this guy who has 44 chromosomes (a pair less), but it's the same story.....his missing chromosomes are also tightly packed and hidden within the 44.

How does he come to have 44?

After a fair amount of reading, there is a basic story to this.  He's living in a region where there aren't a lot of people, and some folks end up marrying cousins.  The general science story is that by this inbreeding.....the cousin-marriage after cousin-marriage situation....finally produced this one guy with the 44 chromosomes.  How many did it take?  No one really says.  You would think that some Einstein-PhD guy would be in the middle of this and asking a lot of questions....but it doesn't appear that way.  You could be looking at 40-odd cousin-marriages over the past 500 years to reach this stage.

For a new stage of humans to emerge out of the 44-chromosome guy?  The general explanation given by the science folks is that if he did have a kid with a normal 46-chromosome gal....it'd likely result in a 46-chromosome kid.  ONLY if he had a relationship with a woman with 44-chromosomes....would it likely result in a 44-chromosome unique kid.

So, this brings up a report where a 44-chromosome Turkish woman was found.  Her case isn't detailed as much.  The odds of an introduction of the Turkish gal and the Chinese guy?  No one suggests that but it would be a curious situation.

Across the globe?  That's the thing....most folks don't typically go and have DNA analysis done of themselves.  We might be shocked to find literally thousands of 44-chromosome folks existing.

But this brings us to the odd prospective of making evolution work from the Ape group to the human group.  You had to have numerous apes living in a very controlled environment....limited numbers....and inter-breeding over and over....to finally have one single 46-chromosome male or female, and then by luck....within a few years....to have a second of the opposite sex, and that those two mated-up and had kids.

Does this story help or hurt the evolutionist?  It would suggest that evolution is a continual thing and not yet finished.  For the creationist?  They could claim that God is still at working and changing the dynamics.  For the realist, it simply means that a million-odd dynamics are continually at work....changing the world minute by minute.

Saturday, 24 June 2017

The Times Story

Back in 2015, I came across a fair amount of analysis over the financial status of the New York Times.  You can go back almost a decade into the past at that point and see various mistakes of the NYT's and their inability to survive.

I sat this morning and read through a NY Post article...a massive journalist release is likely to occur in the very near future with the Times.  It wasn't just enough to go after editors....there are more people on the list to let go.

The two essential problems in my belief?  First, the Times is attempting to survive in a high-cost environment.  They are stuck....they can't move the newspaper out of NY City....to some lesser or cheaper location.  If you go down the list of employees....you have to pay them for the lifestyle of living in NY City....which isn't cheap.

Second, the Times became over the past two or three decades....a lesser news journal.  The agenda business became more pro-Democrat than analysis over both political parties.  People reached a stage by 2010 in seeing the Times as a lobbyist unit, than a newspaper.

In some ways, the Times is going along the same path as the Washington Post, the Newsweek Magazine, and Time....along with dozens of newspaper across the US.  The customer base lost interest in supporting them.

Thursday, 22 June 2017

The Bergdahl Story

I sat and read over the newest Bowe Bergdahl episode.  He's the Army guy awaiting a court-martial after 'walking-away' from his post, and then was held by the friendly Taliban crowd for a long-while, until President Obama's team could make a trade.

The newest wrinkle on the story is that the defense teams wants the judge (military judge, remember) to send a 41-question form to the potential jurors on the episode.  Somewhere in the mix of the 41 questions....asks the jury members who they voted for in the 2016 election.  Naturally, the prosecution jumped in and challenged this with the judge.  The judge said he'd look over the challenge.

The potential jury members?  All Army members.

Typically, with the Uniformed Military Code of Justice.....no one within the military can be compelled to speak or be forced to declare who they voted for.

It's going to be some odd moment in the judge's office as he looks over this.  As far as I know.....no one has ever asked for identification of your past voting trend.....as part of a jury situation.  Once you allow this to occur.....you open up a mess for future court martial episode.

The amusing about this?  You could say literally anything if the judge goes forward....saying you voted for Hillary, Trump or some professional wrestler.  You could also refuse to answer the question and get yourself off the panel.  

The conviction potential?  If I were guessing here...I'd say it's a 95-percent of a conviction.  The question will arise if they go for the lowest number of years or maximum number of years.  The sad thing is that the guy was stupid enough to walk away and get into a prisoner status with the Taliban-crowd, and was a prisoner for a fair amount of time.  I might give him some sympathy for that period, but he's probably getting a minimum of ten years in some military prison in the end (as a minimum).

Some Advice

After viewing the Ossorf election results in the 6th district of Georgia (3-point margin win for GOP Handel)....I'm going to offer ten bits of advice to the national strategy team of the Democrats.

1.  Maybe in highly urbanized areas, this VIP or Hollywood star involvement makes a difference....but in lesser areas or rural regions, it doesn't go over that well.  I might refrain from using this tactic in seventy-percent of voting districts of the US.  I know your Hollywood types think they are an asset, but it's best to only use in limited situations.

2.  If you have a highly gerrymandered district....built to be 60-percent GOP....don't waste 50-million expecting to convince them to slide 10-percent of the votes over.  If the 6th district had been built with a 52-percent GOP voter trend....it might have been worth the effort but that's NOT the design of the 6th district.

3.  You might need to worry about the 2020 Census and results coming out of that.  I'm guessing that at least six states (minimum) will be redrawing their district lines because of representative losses/gains.  If you don't control the legislative process in those six states.....you can guess the outcome of the redrawing.  Adding to this....the Supreme Court is going to pick up the topic of gerrymandering and either give it a clear path ahead or some drastic interpretation (maybe only using county lines).

4.  Silently across the nation for well over twenty years....jobs actually was one of the top three topics on people's minds.  Job stability, job growth, etc.  What was in the Democratic message over this period and what did you actually deliver?  This perception by people outside of urban zones isn't helping you.  A total revamp of Democratic strategy is necessary and asking the question of how you can actually grow private industry and help jobs to be created.  And please don't immediately jump up and start talking 'green' jobs....it only makes people laugh.

5.  Tone down the Trump-negativity theme a notch.  If you go through to the summer of 2019....approaching the next election period (November 2019) and we find that the threat of impeachment never occurred, no Russian-hacking charges ever occurred, and no one in the Trump administration went to jail.....your entire theme will be laughed upon during the election period.

6.  Gone are the days when you could go to NBC, CBS, ABC, the Washington Post and NY Times to garner and attract public attention.  The Huff-Post threat?  Gone.  They've fired off all their 'silver bullets' and reached a point where profit margins are openly discussed and downsizing of staffs is a monthly topic.  Thinking that's just the national scene?  Note that the Birmingham News is now a 3-times a week publication.  Various regional newspapers which used to carry your message aren't being read at the level of the 1960s or 1970s.

7.  Rebrand yourself.  The time has come to set Nancy Pelosi into the retirement stage and reshuffle the leadership of the Party.  Fresh new faces.....people without attack-talk....different prospective.

8.  Fix healthcare, period.  Every single year since 2009.....the cost pattern of health care insurance escalated. For some people, with the better plans....it means a combined cost of the insurance and deductible of $18,000.  If you look two years in the future....it'll likely go beyond $20k a year.  The only thing that really got fixed in 2009 was that you forced the companies to accept everyone, regardless of condition.  Beyond that.....nothing in terms of affordability occurred.  You might want to openly talk about this failure and how it could be resolved.

9.  Know your voters.  If you aren't willing in seventy-percent of the voting districts around the nation....why?  Take a dozen of highly-paid strategists and fire them.....then go find some folks to replace them but send them out for four months of traveling around nation and get a new prospective on voters and their view of the situation.

10.  Eventually, every musical shuts down.  With the hyped-up nature of politics over the past thirty years, it's safe to say that a fair number of people are fed up with Washington DC, and the continual opera-like atmosphere.  They hit the mute-button on TV.....they refuse to buy various newspapers....they quit watching Sunday morning political-chat TV....and they ask questions which you really don't really appreciate.

Tuesday, 20 June 2017

This Otto Warmbier Story

I've sat for several days looking over this story of the American kid who finally got removed from North Korea, and passed away in the US in the past twenty-four hours.  There are a lot of mysterious things over the Warmbier story, but the top one that interests me....is how he got to the point of being in a vegetative state.

My guess?  I think toward the conclusion of the court case.....they began to dope him up.  Guard A would be given some instructions, and in some shift change....give out a dope-dose.  Guard B would come on and get the same instructions.  Guard C would get the same instructions. At some point, Warmbier is permanently in a coma.  The guards can truthfully say they followed the precise instruction they were given, and the idiots above them will realize that they'd killed Warmbier without any intention. The sad fact is that they probably do this several hundred times each month to other prisoners and no one ever says anything about what was done.

My observation on traveling to North Korea?  Why not just select downtown Detroit for a week, and go on nightly tours of the no-go areas of Detroit?  Why not select the gang zones of Atlanta?  There's just no reason to go into North Korea.