At this point, unless some reversal of fate occurs with Arizona or Wisconsin....I'd say the election seems lost for Trump. You add the Penn, NC and Georgia numbers, and Joe Biden will have just enough to win this. So the future and how 2021 looks:
1. State of the Union speech? At least five different things will occur which will suggest Joe has dementia. Nothing will be said by any analyst....even the Fox regular guys will just skip it.
2. The wild budget bill for 2021? McConnell will tell Joe and Nancy....it won't happen, start carving off the figures, and the added taxes. This 'act' will continue until mid-July when some lite-spending bill is offered for a marginal period of time.
3. Dementia for 2021? As European leaders come in and want to share their thrills over Joe being there....most will return to Europe shaking their heads. Gossip by March will have started up and then the EU realizes that Joe probably won't be around for more than twelve months.
Joe traveling in 2021? There might be two or three international trips planned for the first quarter, but the rest-time required for Joe to 'perform'....will make the accomplishments marginal at best.
Nancy Pelosi will have private meetings with the VP in June and July....to discuss the idea of getting Joe to retire from office by December. In the same meeting.....replacement VP will be openly discussed, and I'd expect Cuomo (NY Governor). The problem here? The Senate and House both have a vote over the replacement VP. I see two to three Republicans crossing the line....to make this occur.
4. Mention of Joe after he leaves office? No. Within 30 days....virtually no network news team (even Fox) will discuss Joe Biden.
5. Hunter? Well....he's got around six to nine months of real production left, and when Joe leaves....that's the end of the golden goose.
Hunter's laptop? It's given back to him from the FBI....all investigations are ended by the end of February. No charges.
Hunter will end up on some serious drug activity over the next three years.
6. Saving NY City and California from financial disaster? The Senate will quietly refuse. The speed-up of people exiting both areas? No doubt.
7. How this will all be explained to people? I don't think historians will chat about it over the next decade. It'll be like the triggers to the depression era....just never openly discussed.
8. The economy? Taxes can't go up....if the GOP holds to it's promises. Some type of dynamic increase on industry alone? It'll be rough enough to scare some companies into moving operations beyond the US shores.
China and Europe? Back on good standing, and the GDP goes to marginal numbers above zero. Unemployment starts to edge back up by the end of 2021.
Life will go on but a fair number of people will linger over what existed in 2017 to 2019.
9. Comics? Well....they are the big folks screwed. You just can't make jokes over dementia folks. So political humor will virtually disappear over the next twelve months.
10. TV news? Fox, CNN and MSNBC are destined for the next twelve months to lose around 30 to 40 percent of their audience.
11. Joe's attempt to fill the next Supreme Court judge with a Democrat-leaner? I don't see it going well. Maybe three GOP folks will cross over, but it'll be obvious that it harmed their careers.
12. The 'Green Deal'? Forget about it passing until 2023.
