Thursday, 27 November 2025

Ten Realities We Are Facing

 1.  At this point....if your goal is four years of college, and hoping that AI won't replace your 'fill-a-job' situation....you are likely betting on the wrong horse.  AC-repair, plumbing, and nursing probably fit better for the next forty years.

2.  At the pace of car prices....about 50-percent of 18-year-olds today will never be able to afford a new car....for the remainder of the life.

3. Three cities likely to achieve Detroit-status (dead): SF, Portland, Vegas. Initial signs by 2030, and all three spiral into position by 2035.

4. If you drug-tested your kid's school-teachers....probably ten-percent have 'something' in their system.

5. If you quizzed hardcore Muslims....more than a third of them believe readily in demons, and likely believe there are more demons in western countries.

6. Pretty hefty odds...ALL Americans will be on Medicare within two years (replacing health-insurance), and 90-percent will then be in a massive stage of anger....'its-not-good-enough'.  

7. By the end of 2026....Kennedy probably will have a massive tax on 'bad-foods' (Twinkies, Pop-Tarts, etc).  

8.  We will discover that aliens exist, then  shockingly enough....discover the Democrats have no anti-aliens position to attack Trump on.

9.  Katlin Clark will leave the WNBA by summer of 2026....to be a pro-golfer.

10.  In the next year or so....we will discover that the majority of high school kids....peaked on knowing 'stuff'...around age 15, and the last three years of school are a total waste.  

Simply A Bet

 This shooting in DC yesterday....two dead Guardsmen...shot by a Afghan asylum guy (settled in the US)....had worked for a CIA-related operation for about 10 years in Afghanistan.

Well...I'm betting once folks arrive in Washington-state...checking out his employment (Amazon)....they find that he's in a social-club of other Afghan asylum guys who meet with their former CIA handlers on a regular basis.

Three Finance Stories

1. I was reading a commentary....over lack of updates with IRS.  So it got  brought up....the capital loss limit was set into stone in 1978....remaining still at $3,000.  If you did inflation upgrades since 1978....it ought to be over $15k today.

Same deal with the dependent care credit....set in stone in 1976.  With  inflation....it should be over $17k today.

2.   Apparently....at least one of Amazon's delivery-drones hit a telephone line/internet cable....now the FAA is investigating.  I'd guess.....it's 50-50 if the drones are allowed to continue.

3. 12-percent of all mortgages....that were at least 3 months delinquent....led to what banks/mortgage companies describe as 'no-contact'....meaning the owner knows it's dead-end situation and doesn't see any clean exit possible.