Sunday 23 January 2022

Biden, 60-Percent and 2024

 Someone did a poll....asking people if they'd vote for Joe Biden in 2024.  60-percent said 'NO'.  

What happens between now and 2024?  I expect more problems to emerge....perhaps a 2023 impeachment event (maybe even a second attempt if the first fails by the end of the year).  This 60-percent 'NO' group will expand by the end of 2022 to around 75-percent (my humble take on this).

But here's the problem.  If you were the top three Democratic contenders in the spring of 2024 for the primary run.....do you disavow everything Joe pushed, or double-up?  

Are you going to say Joe wasn't progressive enough or extreme enough?  Or will you contend that Joe Biden was wildly all over the place....with wild ideas that wouldn't get enough House/Senate support?

I can see various problems here....taking a campaign up and trying to say 'I'm-better-than-Joe-Biden' but more extreme.

I noticed this past week....someone made a analytical comment that the list of typical 'outstanding' Democratic governors who might be nomination-capable....are exceptionally weak.  If you go and look at the House/Senate....there's probably three or four people who I would give a fair chance to.  The odds that you might have a nobody appear out of thin air?  Someone like Ms. Obama or Oprah?  Well...I'd say at this point, it's a 50-50 chance.  

All of this in November to reshape the House/Senate?  Yes, without any doubt.

Two Observations

 Over the past week, I watched 'American Made' (2017) for the first time, and binge-watched the 4th season (just out) of Ozark.

I have to admit...American Made is fairly interesting.  True story?  Well....it led you down to this path and begged questions by the end.  So I spent an hour after the movie ended....reviewing the actual history.

To be honest, there's around twenty things that occur in the movie....which have no relationship to reality.  I eventually came to a point....asking why bother making something like this and hinting that it's based on true events.

On the 4th season of Ozark?  Well....they released around two-thirds of the season, and the rest come in three or four months.  It is the final bit of the series, and the shocker for me....while there was an awful lot of killing throughout season one, two and three.....just about everyone that is alive at the beginning of season four.....by episode six of the new season....is either dead or in prison.  

Yes, if you had any favorite characters at the end of season three, you probably are fairly disappointed in how the series is going.  

I'm not condemning Ozark (easily compared to the Sopranos).  I'm just saying that they are running out of characters.