What happens if you have 15-odd individuals running in the Democratic primary next spring? You can anticipate four conditions occurring:
1. For the most part, six of them will be gone by the fourth primary. Cash-wise, from 12 May on (a total of 12 left)....it'll be down to just three candidates.
2. The overwhelming odds are that no one will have sufficient votes to win an outright convention deal.
3. The VIP votes at the primary will then go and pull on who they favor....even if it's the number two or three candidate.
4. The odds are heavily fixed that the convention winner won't be someone really capable of taking on Trump.....even if the journalists say otherwise.
The two characters that I think could beat Trump? Bernie Sanders and Joe Biden. But at this point, neither appear to be lined up to run. Maybe I'm wrong.
2 comments:
I agree with you about Bernie and Biden. Either one of them has more intelligence in his little finger than Trump has in his big fat head.
I think that either Bernie or Biden's policies would be good for the 80% of the population. However, I've been around 70 years, about 55 of them focused close on politics and public policy (my father was a proud union member and a political fanatic) but I've never seen the overall spirit of the country so depressed and, worse yet, anti-intellectual.
Both 'parties' (I use the word loosely) have become some kind of 'Frankenstein'-creation. It's a theatrical play and a growing number of people simply see it as entertainment. Part of the blame goes to cable news networks (in the plural sense). Some blame goes to continual 'fear-chatter'. I think the whole 2020 primary will evolve into a circus, with the most intellectual Democrat getting the Convention 'nod', and regular people just shaking their head because it's 2016 all over again....with journalists forecasting a 95-percent chance of a win for the Democratic contender, and absolute shock that regular people didn't show up and vote the 'right' way.
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