As he came out yesterday and announced he's running an independent campaign in 2020 to be President, it has several themes and scenarios attached to it. If you haven't noticed, he's leveled criticism across the board toward both parties. Even I would admit that there is much frustration over both the Democrats and the GOP.
So what is the real strategy here? Let's go back to 1992 and examine Ross Perot's end-result....roughly 19-percent of the vote, and 19.7-million votes. I think Schultz could easily attain 24-million votes, with a decent social media campaign, and aim simply at five topics that most people feel frustration over.
But here's the interesting thing.....if he just concentrated the bulk of his time and effort on Michigan, Penn, and Wisconsin.....he'd likely win against Trump and the Democratic contender. By taking those 46 electoral votes.....there would be NO ONE to hold 270 or more votes. So the Electoral College would pass, with no winner.
Then in 2021, the House would be given the job of the vote, and it'd go state by state. Right now today.....the GOP barely holds an edge, with 26 states being 'GOP-control', and 22 states being Democratic-control. The rest are 'even'. This differs from 2016's election where the GOP held control over 32 states. So there would have to be at least two states where things would change drastically, and bring the GOP-control down to 24.
This could be a situation where the Democrat....possibly with less than 55-million votes....would end up as the winner.
So this is a Electoral College gimmick? Yes, I think so. But a lot depends on the House elections in 2020, and if they can manage to hold some control. If Schultz does all of this, and the GOP ends up controlling the House state votes? Then all of this was for nothing.
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