As the smoke has cleared from the elections across the fifty states....one odd aspect stands out.
After the Census is concluded and certain state lose/gain House seats....Republican-run states won the majority of the state districts election to write the redistricting plan, if they are in the gain-situation.
Total number? if you look around, it's 188 seats that Republican states will draw the districts for. The Democrat-controlled states? 73 seats.
The gain states? Virginia, Oregon, North Carolina, Florida, Texas, Arizona and Colorado.
Losing a seat or two? Ohio, Michigan, Illinois, Penn, Rhode Island, NY, and Minnesota.
The odds of various districts in Texas, North Carolina, Virginia, Colorado, Arizona, and Florida being drawn to ensure a GOP winner in future elections (starting in 2022)? Around a 100-percent chance. You could see Florida redrawn to such a degree....that three or four districts are no longer 'safe' Democratic seats.
Odds of a contested district redrawing? Oh, that's a 100-percent chance as well. But here's the thing....you have to take this to the Supreme Court, and the odds are slightly against you at this point.
No comments:
Post a Comment