Thursday 14 March 2019

The Three Issues with Beto O'Rourke

Yesterday O'Rourke came out and announced his candidacy for President.  While he has youth.....reminds people of RFK....and is full of 'vigor'....I would suggest that he has three basic problems to overcome.

First, inside of Texas....probably 95-percent of the state's residents know the guy.  With the other 49 states, I would suggest that maybe one person out of ten might recognize his picture, and note that he ran for 'something' in Texas, and lost.  Beyond that, he's more or less unknown.  Course, in 2007, Obama was a unknown in 49 states, and overcame that.

Second, if you were at least leaning toward Trump.....putting your policy positions up on the wall, O'Rourke's positions don't match up with a single one of those.  So from the pro-Trump crowd, the Trump-lite voters, and the middle-ground people.....virtually no gain from them.

Third, if you lined up O'Rourke and Schultz (the independent runner)....on positions, there's a 95-percent match-up.  As long as Schultz is in the race, it hurts O'Rourke in the end, if he is the candidate.

A Bernie-Beto-Biden-Warren race?  Yes.  You can forget about Harris at this point, along with Booker.  Who would Hillary favor?  That might be the key question to ask.

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