Wednesday 26 February 2020

Ten Things I Expect Out of This Virus-Chatter

1.  All airlines are going to report massive losses for 2020, into the billions, with stock prices prices probably dropping by 30 to 40 percent.

2.  Rumors out of China say that 10 to 20 million small-market owners (guys with small production situations, cafes, coffee shops, etc) will be bankrupt by early summer.  My guess is that China will 'print' more money and hand out 'gift-amounts'....maybe enough to survive for all of 2020.

3.  Wal-Mart will have to stand up by early April and admit that delivery-freighters from China in LA or SF ports.....are limited, and stocks for the warehouses are being reduced.  By early May, shelves at Wal-Mart operations will start to be noted as empty.  Same story for toy shelves, and some talk will start up by July that Christmas gift expectations are going to be lowered in a drastic way. 

4.  Wuhan (I think) by early May, will be having an exit-situation going on, with 10,000 locals a week leaving.  Local industry won't be able to recover.

5.  Places like Haiti, Thailand, and Egypt will be hard hit by the virus, and limited medical capabilities.  Doctors will be assaulted and killed over family anger of a relative dead.

6.  Cruise-ship operations will go into a nose-dive by early April.  At least forty of these ships will be parked around US east coast....waiting for some end to the crisis period.

7.  Several movie-production situations will be shut down for four to six months, with some movies planned for spring 2021 release....being pushed back six months. 

8.  Someone will wake up and announce that in reality.....more people die from alcohol-related disease and incidents.....than from the Coronavirus.  It's just that the virus harshly affects the over-65 crowd, with a high-death rate. 

9.  At least a hundred US prisons will announce by July that they have an infection situation, and are unable to provide adequate security for the inmates.

10.  Various judges and political figures around the US....over the age of 65.....will be noted as having 'passed-on' from the virus, and funerals will draw large crowds....where the virus has a chance to spread out among the attendees. 

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