This is how I see the 2023 campaign season opening, and how the 2024 'show' unfolding:
1. I will project around a dozen Democrats showing up in June of 2023 to an early debate schedule. President Biden will not be there, declining to run in 2024. Top three in this early showing....Governor Newsom of California, Pete Buttigieg, and AOC. Now of the three will excite folks in Iowa (in case you were wondering).
2. I will project that Trump will not run, but he will appear in several states to campaign for certain candidates.
3. Republicans in the mid-summer of 2023 that are running? DeSantis, Ted Cruz, Tim Scott, and Nikki Haley. No, Mike Pence won't be showing up. The way that Iowa will shape up....DeSantis wins.
4. From the end of January of 2024 on....it's strictly a race between Newsom and DeSantis.
5. Convention 2024? Newsom selects Buttigieg as VP candidate. DeSantis selects Richard Grenell. Yes, both VPs will be gay guys....go figure the campaign logic to this.
6. Debates? Zero between the two groups. It's more or less a public agreement that the debates were always biased in some way. The news media will hype this to the max, but no one cares.
7. Buttigieg's value to the campaign? Almost zero. Grenell can talk international politics and has five-star value at table talks.
8. This becomes by mid-October....mostly an assessment about how Florida did over the past three years, and how crappy California did with Newsom in charge. Some ad will appear with ten people noting how they left California because it failed as a modern society and state. By late October, even the news media will admit that Newsom was the wrong guy to run at this point.
9. DeSantis wins the election, and immediately tells the Republican Party that he will select his own people....noting how bad advice filtered into Trump's camp, and he won't repeat that mistake.
10. Immediately upon becoming President....another Russia-Gate episode starts up. This time however, DeSantis throws out a hint....he's reorganizing the FBI....basically breaking them up into five minor units, and most all of the members are being given 'pack-up' orders to leave DC. All the stuff that Trump talked about doing? DeSantis is going to place at the front of the list...to get done.
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