Tuesday 21 June 2022

This Texas GOP Succession Vote in 2023?

Basically, the Republican Party of Texas wants to have a vote by the end of 2023....to succeed from the union.  

Humble belief here?  Well....I think they are laying a 'card' on the table and that the suggested vote (if any occurs) would be after the November 2024 presidential election.  Hint here....if the Democrats were to win in 2024....then it's possible this vote might occur in the spring-to-summer of 2025.  

How it would go?  Anyone's guess.

Legit?  Mostly no.  The Constitution doesn't allow an exit.

Zero options?  If Texas voted to go and run up a Constitutional vote....asking the other 49 states to give some consent....then it'd be a different game.

Thirty-eight states would be required to pass such legislation to allow an exit.  Odds of this?  If you were to write a scenario that Newsom (Governor of California) won in 2024 and would be President for four to eight years....then I'd suggest that finding a dozen states to approve the Constitutional change would be fairly easy.  Finding 38 states?  Difficult.

But lets carry this fantasy to the level....that 38 states agreed to this state change...that 'any' state could exit or reform itself?  Then you might find some path to getting 38 states to approve it.

My view of what would happen (probably after 2028)?  I'd predict that as Texas openly discussed this exit....they'd find six additional states interested in a nation-state status (my suggestion is that Texas, Louisiana, Oklahoma, Mississippi, Alabama, and Florida would fall into this discussion).

I would also suggest that California on its own.....would form a nation state.  Alaska would probably also discuss the idea.

A positive thing?  Well...as divided as the nation is....if you wanted to avoid a civil war....this would be a handy tool to use, and lessen tensions.  

Odds of this happening?  Oh....probably less than a 5-percent chance.  But then, I used to laugh over woke-crap.

2 comments:

LargeMarge said...

That argument relies on the continuing recognition of the alleged 'legitimate authority' of government agents such as government judges, government LawEnforcementOfficials, government tax-collectors, government school ability to enforce attendance, and the alleged legality of unionized government agents.
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I dispute any such claim.
Fact is, I am pretty sure no part of any government provides any good to tax-payers.
However, I am pretty sure any government concept at any level was established for the benefit of the RulingElites... or those hoping to become RulingElites.
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Accordingly, those government agents are a fraud, illegitimate at their core.
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An aside:
I am also pretty sure 'the biden-pelosi war to protect the foreign-aid skim scam' will continue until -- as Big Country ExPat discusses in the 6/22 column -- until we notice a lot of RulingElite children are on-holiday in Oz or NZ... permanently.

Kafiroon said...

What Constitution? The Dems overthrew that long ago. The Jan.6 Kangaroo Clown Show is proof of that. choose to leave and do it. Do you want permission from the tyrants?