Things in Roselle Park, New Jersey have taken an interesting turn. They've come up and agreed that the homeless situation is finally starting to make folks a bit hostile. So they've devised this rule that says you can't sleep in public. If the cops find you sleeping anywhere in the public sector, except your house, your RV, and I would assume your vehicle....then they can fine you.
I sat and pondered over this.
Most folks are now tiring of this homeless situation in major cities. I can spend an afternoon walking around DC and find sixty to one hundred folks camped out along Pennsylvania Avenue. They hide out behind the bushes or just lay out on the grass. The cops do virtually nothing.
Back in July, I walked around a dozen federal buildings in the District and was shocked over the camped out nature of the homeless crowd. I suspect that the political folks in the District would like to dump these folks but fear the media frenzy that would occur if they showed any muscle. The media tends to want people to help the homeless but there's never an endpoint.
I suspect this Jersey town will have legal cases pop up and folks will say it's ok to just sit there....so why is that different from sleeping? Folks might wonder why a bunch of stupid laws got drafted after the Civil War that kinda fall into this same category, and it's because society got tired of accepting a mess.
So if you are driving up via Jersey and happen to be sitting there one afternoon....tired from shopping and just laying back on the bench....don't nod off or you might end up in jail.
Tuesday, 16 November 2010
The Odds of a One-Term President
It is an odd thought to ponder and how things could come to a close.
First, this 2012 election really starts in Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina in August. Whatever achievements done between January and August...have to be enough for the President to show up and start pumping up the public. If the economy is stalled in these three states.....it is a bad sign.
Competition from a Democratic contender? Right now today? None. I would imagine that most would keep their mouth shut and suddenly walk onto the field in May. Whoever they are....being in the Democratic field for these three states....you have to really make an impression that's different from the President.
So from January to July....how should the President act? Friendly toward Republicans or hitting weekly on their strategy? My guess is a brief friendly period of 100 days....then give up and go as far to the left as possible. The base currently left for the President is mostly far-left Democrats and a handful of independents. Numbers in the south aren't great except in metropolitan areas....like Dallas or Memphis.
If the President loses the primary in one of the first couple of states but wins three out of four....then you might see a brief chance to overcome the one-term situation.
If the first couple of primaries go totally against the President....then you could say "end" by the sixth state and just think about the consequences of two new candidates running against each other in November. This is the weird scenario that I could actually coming out of this....shocking the media and the experts.
The oval office and Presidency by May....in a lame-duck situation? It would be awkward watching the nightly news and watching them carefully avoid saying the President's name for thirty minutes. It would also likely take the wind out of Fox News because there's nothing major to go against....and MSNBC would likely be standing there with analysts of a comical nature.
I am of the persuasion that Iowa and New Hampshire will go to President Obama....with South Carolina falling to someone else in the primary....and maybe things could just shuffle along for the rest of the primary season. Maybe the President could win forty of the states and just say those ten state losses were just bad luck. And if he had Sarah Palin to run against......he'd still have a chance to win in November. So in the end....you really need those MSNBC folks to pump up Sarah Palin as much as possible....because she's the only chance here....maybe.
First, this 2012 election really starts in Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina in August. Whatever achievements done between January and August...have to be enough for the President to show up and start pumping up the public. If the economy is stalled in these three states.....it is a bad sign.
Competition from a Democratic contender? Right now today? None. I would imagine that most would keep their mouth shut and suddenly walk onto the field in May. Whoever they are....being in the Democratic field for these three states....you have to really make an impression that's different from the President.
So from January to July....how should the President act? Friendly toward Republicans or hitting weekly on their strategy? My guess is a brief friendly period of 100 days....then give up and go as far to the left as possible. The base currently left for the President is mostly far-left Democrats and a handful of independents. Numbers in the south aren't great except in metropolitan areas....like Dallas or Memphis.
If the President loses the primary in one of the first couple of states but wins three out of four....then you might see a brief chance to overcome the one-term situation.
If the first couple of primaries go totally against the President....then you could say "end" by the sixth state and just think about the consequences of two new candidates running against each other in November. This is the weird scenario that I could actually coming out of this....shocking the media and the experts.
The oval office and Presidency by May....in a lame-duck situation? It would be awkward watching the nightly news and watching them carefully avoid saying the President's name for thirty minutes. It would also likely take the wind out of Fox News because there's nothing major to go against....and MSNBC would likely be standing there with analysts of a comical nature.
I am of the persuasion that Iowa and New Hampshire will go to President Obama....with South Carolina falling to someone else in the primary....and maybe things could just shuffle along for the rest of the primary season. Maybe the President could win forty of the states and just say those ten state losses were just bad luck. And if he had Sarah Palin to run against......he'd still have a chance to win in November. So in the end....you really need those MSNBC folks to pump up Sarah Palin as much as possible....because she's the only chance here....maybe.
The Deer in the Headlight Look
Several financial and news organizations have come around in the past week to suggest (boldly) that we are about to walk into the next valley of economic messes.
This entire episode involving the quick and speedy mortgage moves to take defaulted homes....will have have massive issues. Banks are now slowing down their process and having to actually gaze over the paperwork and ensure every single form is correct.....adding days and increased costs on each default.
The previous screw-ups? Well....this will likely end up in court and my personal guess is that folks could squeeze $50k out of a bank for acting too quickly. The humor to this is that the homeowner generally defaulted anyway and he's just milking the system. Some lawyer will write up the paperwork and take ten percent of the judgement for doing little to no work. So on top of the defaulted house....the bank will have to find more cash to pay folks....thus making them closer to being closed themselves.
I don't think you could write a script like this for movie. Guy punches button, computer spits out forty foreclosure forms....toss them into envelopes....and then has a 30-minute break before doing another forty. In the old days....a guy might be lucky to run through five or six in an entire day, and he'd have an assistant typing up the "We are sorry"-letters.
I imagine that in three weeks....the real news players...NBC, ABC and CBS will finally come around to suggest banks are in serious trouble. Some senators will appear on TV to agree. And by January, we are in the next mess where $200-billion is needed to save banks in America again.
After a while, you'd almost think this was a WWE-wrestling match....good guys win then lose to the bad guys....good guys recover but beaten by the bad guys again....good guys get the beautiful and enchanting gal but the bad guys take her away. Man, if the banking industry only had the Undertaker or Hulk Hogan on their side, then things would be different.
This entire episode involving the quick and speedy mortgage moves to take defaulted homes....will have have massive issues. Banks are now slowing down their process and having to actually gaze over the paperwork and ensure every single form is correct.....adding days and increased costs on each default.
The previous screw-ups? Well....this will likely end up in court and my personal guess is that folks could squeeze $50k out of a bank for acting too quickly. The humor to this is that the homeowner generally defaulted anyway and he's just milking the system. Some lawyer will write up the paperwork and take ten percent of the judgement for doing little to no work. So on top of the defaulted house....the bank will have to find more cash to pay folks....thus making them closer to being closed themselves.
I don't think you could write a script like this for movie. Guy punches button, computer spits out forty foreclosure forms....toss them into envelopes....and then has a 30-minute break before doing another forty. In the old days....a guy might be lucky to run through five or six in an entire day, and he'd have an assistant typing up the "We are sorry"-letters.
I imagine that in three weeks....the real news players...NBC, ABC and CBS will finally come around to suggest banks are in serious trouble. Some senators will appear on TV to agree. And by January, we are in the next mess where $200-billion is needed to save banks in America again.
After a while, you'd almost think this was a WWE-wrestling match....good guys win then lose to the bad guys....good guys recover but beaten by the bad guys again....good guys get the beautiful and enchanting gal but the bad guys take her away. Man, if the banking industry only had the Undertaker or Hulk Hogan on their side, then things would be different.
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