Five Realities

 1.  All these people and news media organizations quitting Twitter?

Basically, they have tried to exist on Twitter.....defending a position or stating some conclusion....yet the bulk of the public no longer buys off on their explanations.  So, the only possible outcome....is to quit Twitter.

What's this say about society?  A whole lot of people have acted as propagandists.  

2.  At this point....roughly two weeks after the election....I've heard at least one-thousand explanation on how Kamala Harris lost the election.

Look.....the bulk of the public doesn't really care at this point....they've moved on.  If you are CNN or MSNBC.....you might want to move along and find some news to  talk on besides the election.

3.  How I see all of Trump's picks getting their cabinet posts?

I think the House Speaker will screw up matters....not allowing a recess appointment process to start up.  Whole thing will stall.

Then the 'continuing resolution' budget process will occur, and not pass....with the government shutting down.  Trump won't budge.

In the end....30 days later....they agree to a two-week recess....where all of Trump's  picks are given status (for up to January of 2026).  

4.  I contemplated this story from the NY Times in the AM.  

It's hard to imagine someone burning through $1.5-billion in 4 months.  Imagine an election where she had to run a primary.

What she proved?  Money doesn't matter.

5.  All this chatter of the Trump team engaging with Rwanda.....to get them to accept migrants?  

It's basically to scare the crap out of people....so they run to the Canadian border to escape.  Then they will have to solve their problem.

What Happens In a Trillion-Dollar US Fed Budget Cut?

 Between now and January of 2026....I expect around one-trillion dollars of fed funding to be cut, and some indicators that as we end 2026....it'll be close to 2-trillion cut.

Part of the 'credit' in January 2026....will go to the national debt.  But I would imagine that everyone's tax bill (compared to last year)....will be trimmed by $1,000.  

Those on Social Security?  I think that income will be ALL tax-free.

By January 2027?  National debt will be cut by 35-percent.  

By January 2028?  Whatever tax you paid in 2020....will be $2k to $3k less.  

So here's the thing....if the economy had been turned around.....you were given $2,000 back in taxable income....the banks restored to accountable standards....who would you vote for in 2028?  

Well....Vance of course.  

The Democrats have a problem, which they can't really counter.....working-class people being rewarded.  

Eight Things I Now Believe

 1.  Both Joe and Jill Biden voted for Donald Trump.  Call me crazy....but I think the way they were pushed-out....gave the a ton off anger.

2.  By the time we get around to the next UK national election (Aug 2029)....one out of 12 Brit adults will have been charged with a hate-crime.  The amount of anger and hostility will have reached a level where one out of four Brits would like to approach the US as a state.  

3.  MSNBC will be sold by spring of 2025, and likely dump 90-percent of its political chatter news.  

4.  The cruise company offering 4-year cruises to Trump-anxiety-sufferers.....will find 500 people interested in the deal, and the bulk of them (400-plus) will sign up.

5.  Almost ALL of green-energy loans given out by the Biden administration...within 12 months, will be deemed failures and written off.  At least 100 individuals connected to these failures will be dragged into court and end up admitting that some elements of the loan....were simply money-laundering. 

6.  Research will show more than 2,000 Chicago black residents in fear of themselves being deported....reacting to the mayor's chatter.  Fake letters from some non-existent gov't department will arrive by spring....asking residents to present evidence they were born in the US.  

7.  More than forty US Senators/House members....are identified by the end of 2025.....as 'con-artists'.

8.  More than 12,000 Americans are arrested for phystical violent behavior related to anti-Trump syndrome in 2025.  Some will end up with multiple years in prison.

What'll Happen To The 44 4-Star US Generals/Admirals?

 In about two months, this chatter will start up.  Gazing at my crystal ball....I'm predicting four things:

1.  Massive downsizing of troops in Europe....where there will be one single 3-star general, and one single 1-star admiral.

2.  From the remaining situation....about half of the four-star positions will either drop to a 2-star position or be eliminated entirely.

3.  You see forty of the current 4-star folks gone by June...retired.

4.  For a bunch of Lt Col's and Col's, who were on some path....dreaming of a 4-star ending....it's a crushing emotion, and they all start to rethink things after their 20th year....exiting/retiring.  

The Blunt Truth

 This week....a bunch of DC gov't workers have come out and said they may be quitting because they can't handle the approaching Trump situation.

I pondered over this....having been a gov't employee (GS, 3.5 years) and lived in DC.  I will admit....probably 70-percent of the people I worked around....were left in terms of their political beliefs.

I could see these people, after making the quitting-chatter....going to their accountant/finance wiz....then having this pitiful talk.

If you were a year or two away from age 55....you might have some window to retire via your TSP (gov't IRA).  But you'd be warned....if you need a year....just shut up and work through a year.  Same for those who need two years.....just shut up.

Then the accountant will figure up your car loan and home mortgage amount....telling you that quitting means you need to find a job of equal value....then grinning while telling you the job-market is crap, and you'd have to accept a 30 to 40 percent cut in pay.

Yeah, all those numbers the Biden-team talked about for four years....were crap.

Even if you changed your attitude and just tried to stick it out....there's a pretty good chance that Elon's team will eliminate your job.  The accountant then figures....your savings with state unemployment money....will last you four months at best.  Dipping into the TSP/IRA?  That just creates a bigger problem in five years.

So 'Joe' goes home....opens up a bottle of whiskey and talks with the wife.  Massive desperation starts to set in.

'Wanda' (the 17-year-old daughter who was supposed to  be going to the University of Oregon in August, requiring $38,000 out of your savings for the first year)....steps into the room.  You alert her that this Oregon adventure is crap and  not possible....she might have to accept the crappy University of Maryland.

The wife is disgruntled because that 2-week cruise to the Med....is in jeopardy.  She calls her dad....also a gov't employee.....only to discover that he's drinking whiskey as well, and planning an exit to Panama by March.

Across DC presently, I would imagine more than 100,000 folks in turmoil and preparing to sell their homes as quickly as possible.

Who would want to hire a forced-out gov't employee?  Well....once you state a salary that is only 60-percent of  what they made before.....they will feel insulted.

Suicides popping up?  Oh yeah....between now and Christmas....I would guess more than a hundred GS employees reach that level of desperation.

Even if you are around 55 and can retire early....you are talking about a lesser income situation.  You won't be staying in DC....because of the cost factor.  Accepting some move to Arkansas or Alabama....to cut cost?

For the remainder of their lives...these are people who will talk non-stop....day-after-day....of the terrible wrongs done to them, and how valuable they were for 20 years of gov't service.  

Five Humble Thoughts

 1.  I read this AM....the View (the TV show) management people are discussing an emergency change to the ABC show.  They say....some 'voices' that are pro-Trump are now required.  

The way it was said.....at least two of the current ladies are gone, and I would  imagine the most extreme views will be the ones dismissed.  

How this would work?  Unknown.  Trans-ladies possible in the mix...who are pro-Trump?  Well....maybe.

2.  Some kind  of 9-11 style attack was prevented in Texas....by the FBI, yesterday.

I'm shocked that the FBI had time to do real work.

3.  Just odd....all these DC-insiders racing to MSNBC and CNN to hype negative chatter on Trump's selections.

4.  I went out and bought roughly 60 shares of NANC stock yesterday.  This is a ETF which captures Nancy Pelosi's trading trends....what she buys....they buy.  What she sells....they sell.  Since early 2024....30-percent gain.

Nancy says she's running in November 2026.  Maybe I should triple my stock  investment situation?

5.  I hate to say it....but the more Senator John Fetterman speaks....the more 'normal' he seems....almost conservative in nature.

Five Things I'd Bet One-Thousand Dollars On

 1.  Within 90 days of President Trump's arrival.....former President Obama's house is raided on fed-charges.

2.  Serious banking failure start to be announced by 1 Feb 2025, and over 100 banks are in a failed status by the end of March 2025.....mostly due to the commercial property loan failures.

3.  At least forty FBI/CIA officials quickly retire by mid-January and relocate outside of the US.

4.  At least 500 names are released on the Epstein island list. 

5.  At least 100 suicides are reported in the first half of 2025....relating to Diddy-parties.   

Note: Something I'd bet $10 on: for the J6 business in 2021....I suspect this Crooks guy (the Trump-shooter) was in DC on that day.  It would be interesting to match his cellphone number up and see if it shows up on DC traffic for that day.