Friday 15 February 2019

2020 Senate Race

There are 34 Senator spots up for grabs....the GOP holds 22 of them.  The Democrats hold 12. 

So far, there are only two incumbent Republicans retiring....meaning a higher risk for those two states (

The Alabama race?  It's likely a lose situation for the Democrats, with a plus-up of one seat there.

Alaska, Arkansas, Georgia, Idaho, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky (Mitch ought to retire but won't), Louisiana, Mississippi, Montana, Nebraska, North Carolina, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Texas, South Dakota, Tennessee, West Virginia and Wyoming....are all considered safe for the GOP.

Maine's Susan Collins?  She likely loses.  It wouldn't surprise me if she declines to run and annouces this by December.

Colorado and Arizona are both in the 50-50 situation for the GOP. 

For gaining Democratic seats?  Michigan and New Hampshire are the more likely places where the GOP could put effort and time.

The strategy of Trump campaigning in various states?  In the case of Alabama and Michigan....it's the big dynamic and ought to bring the GOP those two seats. 

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