Wednesday 12 June 2019

Is the Democratic Primary Mostly Over (Before It Starts)?

Well....here's the thing.  Once you get past Joey B (Biden) and Mayor Pete, you seem to come to these three character that the news media project some 'light' upon ('Socialist' Bernie, Senator Warren, and Beto the 'White' Latino).  There may be 22 total individuals in the running, but if you sat around and listened to the general public talk about it.....those five are 'it', and Bernie, Warren and Beto seem to be way down on the list.

So these debates that are starting up this month?  A waste of time?  More or less.

It'll be interesting in certain states....like California, to see if Joey B can beat Mayor Pete, or if some massive swing will occur with Mayor Pete. 

In the south?  None of the five really draw much appeal, and I think you are looking at a dismal number of folks coming out in the primary season to vote on the Democratic side.

The 2016 Bernie-Hillary vote?  It totalled at around 30-million total votes from the primary period.  If this primary period doesn't meet that number?  I would suggest that if it's anything less than 28-million, then there's a serious enthusiasm problem, and virtually guaranteed that Trump will win. 

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