The Odds of Impeachment or Amendment 25 Happening?

 As of today, the House/Senate have 11 possible days to hustle up an impeachment or Amendment 25 event.  So this is a discussion of the following 11 days.

First, could they run the Amendment 25 event after 20 January?  No.  It kinda says in strong language the verbiage indicating a 'standing' president....not a former President.

Second, to test the impeachment process...you'd normally require 30 days.  To do it in 11?  I'd say it's nearly impossible.

You'd have to launch out of 10 Jan (the Sunday political talk shows) with a massive fury, and go into secret talks on 11 Jan in the House basement SCIF.  By the evening of 11 January....you'd have to have the basic draft of charges done. 

The House judicial folks would have all day on the 12th (Tuesday) to chat over this and then by that evening....send it onto the full House.  

You'd figure the 13th to be spent with the House floor very active, and a vote by noon on the 14th (Thursday)....to send it onto the Senate.

The Senate would have to collapse all other events on the 15th, and likely start on the 16th (Saturday), and they'd have to complete this by the evening of the 19th (day before Biden is sworn in).

Going the Amendment 25 way?  Witnesses would be dragged in and the House/Senate path would require a minimum of two weeks.  

So why go to openly discuss this business?

There simply is enormous fear on the part of the Democrats, and fake-Republicans that Trump will emerge in the fall of 2023, and be on the primary list for 2024.  Covid-19 mail-in procedures?  They simply won't be available to use again, and the 81-million vote-count for Joe Biden.....can't be repeated again.

Even if they completed the impeachment or Amendment 25....would that be enough to halt Trump?  No....he would just gather up the list of fake-Republicans and probably gather up primary situations to dump half of them out in 2022.  

This whole thing....a massive fear of Trump returning?  Yep, that's the bulk of this whole landscape (like a Van Gogh painting, just bigger and more than 500 different colors mixed-in).

And if Trump returned in 2024?  Well....the firing list would be over 1,000 CIA, FBI and Attorney General officials on day one.  

I admit....if this was mid-December....there would be ample time to carry out either the impeachment deal or the Amendment 25 situation.  But with 11 days?  Toss in riots and massive crowds gathering in DC....with the news media/social media players restricting information?  

It might worth the effort to take next week off and just have five TVs laid out in your living room and watching the action.  

Finally....has Amendment 25 ever been used?  No.  That's the one odd part of this story.