Thursday 13 January 2022

How Many Democratic Senate Seats Will Flip?

 Six months ago....I would have said almost zero.  Today?  I'd put the number of Democratic-controlled seats to flip at four: Georgia, Arizona, Nevada, and New Hampshire.  

Republican seats to flip?  I'd put Wisconsin at a better than 50-percent chance to flip.

President Biden able to halt/prevent the four losses?  Well....no.  There's just not any 4-star accomplishments about to occur in 2022, which would translate to positive numbers. 

The more interesting race to watch?  Right now....Georgia, with former football great Herschel Walker running as a Republican.  Polling (as of early December 2021)....Warnock versus Walker?  Walker is currently ahead by one point in the polls. 

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