This past weekend, I read this lengthily piece on the idea that Trump might skip the GOP primary entirely....run as an independent, and he'd be pitted against DeSantis (the likely Republican primary winner) and some Democratic player (likely to be Joe Biden or Mayor-Pete, or Governor Newsom of California).
After a fair amount of pondering, I just grinned....it's a remarkable fantasy.
There are four issues to this:
1. For the news media.....it's utter disaster for them to paint both Trump and DeSantis as 'evil' or destructive. Basically, it'd be proving the point that the news groups are corrupted and can't be trusted.
2. The odds that none of the three would cross the 270-line for the Electoral College? I'd say it's a 99-percent case. So the House would receive the situation in 2024, and have three candidates to pick from....from fifty different state groups. You could screw up the state by state votes in a hundred ways, and it wouldn't matter....it'd be a House delegation that mattered in the end.
Countering any illegal vote activity? It'd break that whole fantasy apart.
The fact that more than half of the House Republicans will owe their position/winning....to Trump in 2022, and stand by him? I think in some weird way....this would be an interesting thing to watch unfold.
3. Trump wasting time or capital on the primary system which is screwed up (most of us would admit that)? It'd give him six months to avoid stress and waste of funds.
4. Making January of 2025 a heightened state of conflict....with far-left groups arriving in DC and threatening civil conflict? More than likely. In the midst of this early January 2025 violence? Well...President Joe Biden.
I really doubt this scenario but it is an intriguing discussion.
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