Thursday, 17 August 2023

Do Numbers Matter

 This is a statistics story.  Most engineers would review it for 8 seconds and just quickly agree.

Non-engineers would argue for twelve minutes, that you can't count group 'A' and group 'B' in the same pool of numbers.

If there were a CNN panel?  They would consume an entire hour arguing about  this.  

My stance is....we need more engineers....than journalists or 'experts'.  



The General's Problem

 Everyday, I open up Twitter, and I browse on certain subject.  

Senator Tuberville, and the woeful no-general's appointment thing is typically like number 5 to 10 on my list.

You see....since March time-frame....when the Pentagon said it would fund abortion trips for members because of the Supreme Court stuff....Tuberville has said it's against the law in effect (for roughly 3 decades).....that says you can only fund via the Pentagon if the life is in danger, there's incest, or a rape involved.  Any other funding?  By law, you can issue funds.  But the Pentagon said 'no'....we got power.  

So Tuberville said he has power to slow-down and halt General appointments.  The Democrats could easily side-step Tuberville, but so far, they haven't desired this type of tactic.  They think the delay works to their advantage.

What I look at?

Literally tens of thousands of dimwits who really don't know much about generals or the situation, but they immediately side against Tuberville.

I've had some people try to suggest that the whole military structure is falling apart.  Some say readiness is now affected.  Some even want to suggest our enemies are watching.

Bullshit....of the 5-star variety.

Ships and subs are leaving on schedule for duty.

Fights, bombers, tankers and cargo planes launch on schedule.

Army privates go out to the range on schedule, or march for eight hours to stay in shape.

NCO clubs are still operating.

Commissary are open....I might suggest the prices are higher, but that's not a general's problem.

Toilets in the Pentagon seem to be flushing as designed.  

Women in need of abortions are getting their orders, and paid services via the Pentagon....with no break in time or funding.

Navy flyers are still seeing UAP/UFO action.

Nothing seems to have gone downhill since the stall on general appointments have occurred. 

So this is an imaginary issue?  Yeah.  It's like saying a new tank comes out of the factory with a lucky rabbits foot, and people seem to believe the bogus story.

Why Can't Hollywood or Disney Produce Anything Today 'Original'?

 This is one of those forty topics that revolve around my head each week.  

If you asked me about quality movies worth watching from the 2020 era to today....there's probably fewer than ten movies that I'd recommend.  The other 500 productions?  Marginally worth the effort, or a total failure.

So I have three observations here:

1.  I think most producers/studios want mega-hit 'wonders'....where you spent $150-million and made more than $500-million upon release.  So once you have that 'wonder'.....your mental side says....don't risk nothing, just make version II, III and IV.

2.  The studios want films that 15-to-25 year olds generally rank 'high' because they will attend.  In their mind, the script is marginally important......you just need the face.

3.  Inventing anything new?  Risk is involved.  No one wants to produce something like 1940's Philadelphia Story, or 1956's King and I, or 1959's North By Northwest.

Lot of crap?  That's the curious thing.  A lot of the younger generation of today haven't watched anything from prior 2000.  

A Stupidity Story

 In the early 2000s, I worked with a guy who had a older sister (late 30s) who had attended a legit community college in the 1980s, and gotten a associate's degree.

By the late 1980s....the sister wanted to progress on....without any added 'weight'.  So she found this college degree-'mill' where you could buy a bachelors or master's degree, without classes.

I'll just say that she was a resident of a west coast state at the time.

She purchased a bachelor's degree....pursued a step-up in management and was accepted for the improved position.

About three years into this....she buys the master's degree and starts to submit for high levels of management within the state system.  

A year or so later....she moved up to another level. 

I asked at this point in the story he was telling....didn't they investigate her or challenge the degree?  No was the response.  Either the state system was not smart enough, or she'd found the right people to influence.  

So I asked the next natural question....was she really qualified for the leadership level?  My associate was amused.  He responded....no one in the family really considered her that bright or gifted.  She had a overly nice house....an expensive car, and spent a week or two on some Caribbean Island every year.  She could show return on the investment, but measuring her on brightness was not possible.

We came to this odd subject....just how many people exist like this?  Either with a fake degree, or marginally employed in some profession that their education really doesn't fit.

My thought was that 10-percent of management/leadership position were occupied by this trend.  His thought was that it might be closer to one out of three managers being ill-fitted (either with a fake degree or a real degree) for the work required.

It's like bringing up the George Bush 'Junior' situation, and most people grinning to the idea that he was not that gifted or bright, but his name was Bush.  (Note, I see the same trend with Hunter Biden).

I often come back around to this discussion, and wonder where this guy's sister is today?  She's probably retired, and clearing $100,000 a year on some state pension deal.  I'm also guessing that as time went by....she recruited others like herself, and that there's probably a hundred faked-up managers within the state system.  

In a way, without any prevention going on....it's like a work-cult that developed.....where we have stupid managers and relying upon them for guiding us in life. 

Harris Quote

 "Electricity from wind and solar farms in the Arizona desert will be delivered to people MILLIONS of miles away."

-- VP Harris yesterday

I pondered over this. 

From San Diego to NY City, is 2,760 miles. So to reach millions (plural, assuming 2-million)....it'd be 750-odd trips between San Diego to NY City (one-way trips) to get electricity from 'X' to 'Y'.

Maybe in her mind, this was a 3rd-grade moment where you were shipping something 'contained' from point 'A' to point 'B'.

But then I considered...if you were in the powerline business.....a million miles of line would be something of amazement.  

Maybe Harris just starts each day like this....learning something new and preaching about it....as if you were as limited as she was....in terms of knowledge.  

Wednesday, 16 August 2023

My View On The Fulton County Rico-Court Deal With Trump?

First, if you run a RICO-type charges....it becomes a very demanding case, where successful operations have recorded undercover operations.  Maybe the county police did stuff like this but I would have doubts.

Second, once you have a room with 19 people under indictment....it's a circus operation and there are a very small number of judges who have this ability to handle the prosecution and the defense.  In the whole state of Georgia, I don't think you will find a single judge who has done something like this....at the state or county-level.

Third, Prosecution staffing to run this situation?   County DA has to be begging a ton of money from the county commission to cover expenses.  This is not a simple half-million dollar episode.  I would be guessing to get up to first week....they will have spent one to two million.  

Fourth, Length?  If the Prosecutor goes on....with 19 accused and all in court at the same time?   I could see this going, with interruptions....maybe six months....maybe even nine months.  Cost level then?  Way beyond $25-million with extra police manhours somewhere in the mix.  Appeals process, if anyone was convicted?  There's potentially another five to ten million.....to reach the Supreme Court.  County having that kind of money to throw around?  I doubt.

Fifth, what the prosecutor is counting on?  Anywhere from five to ten of the accused going for a 'deal'.  If no one goes for a deal.....it's a problem.

Sixth, I sat and looked over the resume that exists for the County DA.  I don't see a person sitting there with the broad experience for RICO court action.  Does she have a high-priced adviser to the county providing service....if so, who?  

Seventh, while the judge might think they are talented enough for the demands....there's probably 15 defense attorneys there with the same level of expertise....if not more.  

Eighth and final....if they reach the end, and no one is convicted?  Well.....the county is out for about $25-million minimum (probably more).  It's a lot of money that could have been used for parks, pot-holes, or library action.

Then, this odd thing.....if broadcasted over TV and coming to a failure in the end?  You really don't want to face county voters in November of 2024.  

Risk-factor?  If no conviction....the prosecutor is probably finished in terms of a political career.    

How Germans Handle Voter Registration

 First, just in general, within 30 days after you move into x-house....you have to appear at the local city hall and note your address. In recent years, they even noted that you have to appear at the OLD city hall and note that you no longer reside in that town or village.

This new registration?  It can only occur as you present your national ID card.

So as they register for living purposes (tax purposes as well).....you are automatically on the voting list for that village/town.

You never go back to renew yourself.....unless you move or die.  

Election day coming up?  You get a letter to this address....stating where the voting station is located, that you must bring the letter, and your national ID card.  The election will be on a Sunday.  

If you are gone on that day (vacation)....then you could stop by the city hall and get a ballot before you leave.....filling it out, and hand it to the city clerk for the holding box.  

Odds of a screwed-up election?  Up until 2021....I would say zero chance.  In Berlin (the city).....things got screwed up for three reasons, and they were forced to re-accomplish the election. 

People complaining about mandates and regulations over registration?  Strangely enough....no.