After watching the whole press conference between the two, there are four observations I can make:
1. Mueller better prepare now because Trump's going to light a fire to build an extradition treaty, then force the Justice Department to present evidence to the Russians. You can figure that it'll take three to six months but I suspect a treaty will exist by spring of 2019. I kinda have my doubts that the State Department and Justice Department will be happy.I think Mueller may have played the wrong hand here. Somewhere out there, I would suspect that Russia laid out two or three more 'traps', and Mueller hasn't figured that depth of the mess out yet.
2. Trade talk. Well.....it might occur and wouldn't that be shocking? What if the Russians figured out an industrial way to take off and take some Trump-magic over to their side?
3. Cold War II over? Putin says yes. If it is over....why cover for NATO? The pro-NATO crowd in Europe are probably shaking their heads over this.
4. Trip to Europe score? Out of a one to ten episode....I'd say it's a pretty safe '8'. For the fall election situation....no damage.
Monday, 16 July 2018
My Circus Scenario
So with the twelve 'evil' Russian dudes who hacked into all the servers (three) and maybe broke in six-plus state listings of registered voters....what if the twelve volunteer to show up in court, and admit that act?
Then in the middle of this act, they admit that they helped to create an extra two-million Hillary votes out of thin-air, and that apparently....that was not enough. So they reveal the states, and numbers.....then the experts suggest that instead of 30 states....Trump actually won 35 states. The Electoral College? Closer to 350 votes.
The circus that we've seen for the past 18 months? The tent would collapse in a matter of hours.
Odds of this? Unknown. But it's hard to believe that the Russians would go and do this.....to hurt Hillary.
Then in the middle of this act, they admit that they helped to create an extra two-million Hillary votes out of thin-air, and that apparently....that was not enough. So they reveal the states, and numbers.....then the experts suggest that instead of 30 states....Trump actually won 35 states. The Electoral College? Closer to 350 votes.
The circus that we've seen for the past 18 months? The tent would collapse in a matter of hours.
Odds of this? Unknown. But it's hard to believe that the Russians would go and do this.....to hurt Hillary.
The Heat Question
I noticed this over the weekend, in some health report.....that a couple of researchers at Harvard University went out asked the question....are you more stupid during heat-waves?
Well...yes.
What they say is that your brain is about thirteen-percent slower in extreme heat.
Naturally, you'd ask how this worked for an experiment. Well, they found 44 college kids who were willing to be part of this experiment, and they were used in the summer of 2016.
Course, you would reflect upon this and ask....is your brain faster in cold weather? And they didn't say that occurs.
Being from Bama, I reflected upon this. You see, being around a number of folks in the summer months....I came to this idea of slower thinking way back in the early 1970s. Although in my thinking....I put the blame on dehydration.
But this ought to make you wonder...are we making more bad decisions in June, July and August? Are we accepting more risks in these months? Are we exposing ourselves to more hazards? Are we accepting a higher potential for disaster in these summer months?
My dad often operated with three mental stages....there were fun-to-risk situations....there were extreme-risk situations....and there were intense-to-ultimate risk situations. On a farm, you could get away with things like this. Looking back, it could be that these intense-to-ultimate risk situations all occurred in July and August....amid the summer stress of heat.
So the question comes up in my mind....is civilization different today because a couple of guys sitting around in the African heat for thousands of years....get up one day and just start walking north, and get out of the hot zone? Did we advance as a society....because 'Marvin' and 'Larry' for the betterment of society....left the heat, for a more preferred climate?
It might be worth asking the question.
Well...yes.
What they say is that your brain is about thirteen-percent slower in extreme heat.
Naturally, you'd ask how this worked for an experiment. Well, they found 44 college kids who were willing to be part of this experiment, and they were used in the summer of 2016.
Course, you would reflect upon this and ask....is your brain faster in cold weather? And they didn't say that occurs.
Being from Bama, I reflected upon this. You see, being around a number of folks in the summer months....I came to this idea of slower thinking way back in the early 1970s. Although in my thinking....I put the blame on dehydration.
But this ought to make you wonder...are we making more bad decisions in June, July and August? Are we accepting more risks in these months? Are we exposing ourselves to more hazards? Are we accepting a higher potential for disaster in these summer months?
My dad often operated with three mental stages....there were fun-to-risk situations....there were extreme-risk situations....and there were intense-to-ultimate risk situations. On a farm, you could get away with things like this. Looking back, it could be that these intense-to-ultimate risk situations all occurred in July and August....amid the summer stress of heat.
So the question comes up in my mind....is civilization different today because a couple of guys sitting around in the African heat for thousands of years....get up one day and just start walking north, and get out of the hot zone? Did we advance as a society....because 'Marvin' and 'Larry' for the betterment of society....left the heat, for a more preferred climate?
It might be worth asking the question.
Trump and the Odds of Getting a Royal Flush
In the game of poker, there is a statistical average on you getting a hand tossed to you....and it being a Royal Flush (meaning a king, a queen, a jack, an ace, and a 10....all of the same color). It's a .19-percent chance. A real poker player will tell you in 20,000 games of poker that he's played....it might have come up two or three times. In plain language, it's just awful rare, to have a Royal Flush come up.
Today is 542 days since 19 January 2017.
It's reached a point where you just have to question how the guy (President Trump) can sit there and draw a Royal Flush almost daily, and the news media is basically whacking itself in the head because they can't slow the guy down, or derail his agenda.
The best and brightest of the Democratic on this whack-the-Trump game? Some folks actually have a fairly routine visit schedule now to CNN to be the 'whacker', and seem to work hard at the fake 'whacks'. It's still worth an occasional viewing, but it's almost demoralizing to see adults in this frame of mind, and unable to really do much other than some theatrical act (my term for it).
I sat and pondered at this dozen-Russian indictment that the Justice Department threw out there last week. I can think of forty-odd Republicans (plus Bush I and II), who would have freaked out and this would have caused tremendous pain for them. Trump? It's like you were took a plastic hammer to his limo and just lightly whacked it. Nothing much really came from that.
The news media efforts? Most folks will stand there....in a slight daze and talking over some admiration now of Trump. It's like a guy getting thrown out of bed at 1 AM....house on fire....fire department can't do a lot to save the place, and at 6 AM....the local TV news folks have come out. Betty Lou is interviewing the stoic guy, and his take? With the camera showing a totally burn-out house in the background....the guy says it could have been worse. Then he says that he's already gotten invited to have a hearty-bacon-breakfast with the neighbors with fancy-brewed coffee....some widow gal offered up some NY City clothing for the guy to wear, and he's dreamed all his life of being on TV (while grinning at Betty Lou). He just sees everything as one big long positive. In a way, that's Trump whole scene. Things just can't go negative.
Tomorrow? Something will fall into a negative look.....then Trump will turn to the good Lord, and ask for another Royal Flush, and then remark that he's got such-and-such pardon ready to sign, or ready to flush out a bunch of crooks in the FBI. Folks pour a cup of coffee, and get up....they feel some kind of 'Royal Flush' feeling themselves. In a way, we are becoming a nation of folks on some kind of weird Trump-enthusiasm.
Today is 542 days since 19 January 2017.
It's reached a point where you just have to question how the guy (President Trump) can sit there and draw a Royal Flush almost daily, and the news media is basically whacking itself in the head because they can't slow the guy down, or derail his agenda.
The best and brightest of the Democratic on this whack-the-Trump game? Some folks actually have a fairly routine visit schedule now to CNN to be the 'whacker', and seem to work hard at the fake 'whacks'. It's still worth an occasional viewing, but it's almost demoralizing to see adults in this frame of mind, and unable to really do much other than some theatrical act (my term for it).
I sat and pondered at this dozen-Russian indictment that the Justice Department threw out there last week. I can think of forty-odd Republicans (plus Bush I and II), who would have freaked out and this would have caused tremendous pain for them. Trump? It's like you were took a plastic hammer to his limo and just lightly whacked it. Nothing much really came from that.
The news media efforts? Most folks will stand there....in a slight daze and talking over some admiration now of Trump. It's like a guy getting thrown out of bed at 1 AM....house on fire....fire department can't do a lot to save the place, and at 6 AM....the local TV news folks have come out. Betty Lou is interviewing the stoic guy, and his take? With the camera showing a totally burn-out house in the background....the guy says it could have been worse. Then he says that he's already gotten invited to have a hearty-bacon-breakfast with the neighbors with fancy-brewed coffee....some widow gal offered up some NY City clothing for the guy to wear, and he's dreamed all his life of being on TV (while grinning at Betty Lou). He just sees everything as one big long positive. In a way, that's Trump whole scene. Things just can't go negative.
Tomorrow? Something will fall into a negative look.....then Trump will turn to the good Lord, and ask for another Royal Flush, and then remark that he's got such-and-such pardon ready to sign, or ready to flush out a bunch of crooks in the FBI. Folks pour a cup of coffee, and get up....they feel some kind of 'Royal Flush' feeling themselves. In a way, we are becoming a nation of folks on some kind of weird Trump-enthusiasm.
Sunday, 15 July 2018
The Dozen Russians Indictment
After you sit and pause over this Muller investigation and the dozen Russians indicted (on Friday)....you come to this odd thing. Nowhere in this indictment is there some explanation over what the Russians did....beyond saying they sneaked, or broke into the three servers connected to the DNC, the House Democratic campaign, and the Hillary campaign. There has been a suggestion by one single state that the Russians did attempt (successfully) to break into the voter listing of Illinois. But no one says much after that.
Attempts on the 49 other states? Nope, no one says that in this effort.
But then you start to dig, seven other states had attempted hacks....it's just that the states didn't realize it. Yes, the US government went to analyze things and said that Alaska, Texas, Illinois, Arizona, Florida, California and Wisconsin....had issues. Why didn't they tell the states at the time? Prior to 2016's race? Unknown. They just chose not to make any big deal out of this. Why?
So I will tell you where all of this is going.
First, all of this chatter, if you accept it....means that the voting system can be hacked or manipulated (not that it occurred this time, and it won't be proven unless this gets into a court of law).
Second, by going at the voting listing, you are looking very likely at one key factor....real names/addresses....to be used to inject into second registrations. You could take Joe Smith of such-and-such address, and register Joe in another state, so he'll be in two elections. The problem here....which we have to worry about....what if 5-percent of registered voters are fake already, with Joe Smith-1 registered in this county, and Joe Smith-2 registered in another county....but neither are real. With the Russian method....you would just go and invent Joe Smith-3 in a third county, or another entire state. In fact, there might be twelve Joe Smiths existing out of one single non-existent Joe Smith.
Third, all of this leading back to absentee ballots? Yes. That's the amazing part of the story. As much as neither the Republicans and Democrats didn't want to tighten up the whole registration process....the Russians just walked into this 'candy-shop' and did their walk-around. They know how the 'candy-shop' works, and intend to return.
Could you fake-register 40,000 additional ballots in each state for 2020? Yes, of course.
Here's the nifty thing.....the Democrats desperately hope that these dozen Russians don't show up because if they do, and they tell you what their intention was....to add fake voters, and show you how crapped up the system is.....then you'd have to go and fix it.
The fix?
1. Official US ID cards, only for citizens.
2. No registration for voting unless you have an official ID card.
3. Dumping of the entire voting listing in each state and start fresh.
4. Review the whole process for absentee ballots.
5. Mandate some kind of face-to-face contact with registered voters and county clerks.
6. Refuse last-minute registrations.
7. Mandate the security required for storing the registration data nationally.
Chance of any of this happening for 2020? Zero. Chance of a future hack to slant the US election process? Better than a 99-percent chance.
Attempts on the 49 other states? Nope, no one says that in this effort.
But then you start to dig, seven other states had attempted hacks....it's just that the states didn't realize it. Yes, the US government went to analyze things and said that Alaska, Texas, Illinois, Arizona, Florida, California and Wisconsin....had issues. Why didn't they tell the states at the time? Prior to 2016's race? Unknown. They just chose not to make any big deal out of this. Why?
So I will tell you where all of this is going.
First, all of this chatter, if you accept it....means that the voting system can be hacked or manipulated (not that it occurred this time, and it won't be proven unless this gets into a court of law).
Second, by going at the voting listing, you are looking very likely at one key factor....real names/addresses....to be used to inject into second registrations. You could take Joe Smith of such-and-such address, and register Joe in another state, so he'll be in two elections. The problem here....which we have to worry about....what if 5-percent of registered voters are fake already, with Joe Smith-1 registered in this county, and Joe Smith-2 registered in another county....but neither are real. With the Russian method....you would just go and invent Joe Smith-3 in a third county, or another entire state. In fact, there might be twelve Joe Smiths existing out of one single non-existent Joe Smith.
Third, all of this leading back to absentee ballots? Yes. That's the amazing part of the story. As much as neither the Republicans and Democrats didn't want to tighten up the whole registration process....the Russians just walked into this 'candy-shop' and did their walk-around. They know how the 'candy-shop' works, and intend to return.
Could you fake-register 40,000 additional ballots in each state for 2020? Yes, of course.
Here's the nifty thing.....the Democrats desperately hope that these dozen Russians don't show up because if they do, and they tell you what their intention was....to add fake voters, and show you how crapped up the system is.....then you'd have to go and fix it.
The fix?
1. Official US ID cards, only for citizens.
2. No registration for voting unless you have an official ID card.
3. Dumping of the entire voting listing in each state and start fresh.
4. Review the whole process for absentee ballots.
5. Mandate some kind of face-to-face contact with registered voters and county clerks.
6. Refuse last-minute registrations.
7. Mandate the security required for storing the registration data nationally.
Chance of any of this happening for 2020? Zero. Chance of a future hack to slant the US election process? Better than a 99-percent chance.
Lack of Trust in Believability
This past week, I listened to a discussion over believability. It was a long piece, but they made this significant impression over the fact that folks today....just don't have much trust or believability in what they see or hear.
You could have some Senator talking about some great 'evil', and just sit there grinning because out of his eight-minute hype....he probably made one single point of believability, and the rest of this was mostly all 'BS'.
You could have some sports authority giving a big long talk on something, and by the end....you sit and analyze his commentary....coming to the position that 98-percent of his evidence is fraudulent or non-existent.
You could have some 60-Minutes 'talker' (I used to call their people journalists), who weaves up some story over nine minutes, and then you come to this opinion as the commercial finally comes up....it was all fake news.
I think things went this way in the 1990s with President Clinton, and then went deeper into the pit of non-belief, with President Bush and President Obama. Even with candidates like Bernie Sanders and Hillary Clinton, you got more or less a double-dose of non-believability.
Trump? In a way, he's functioning like Mister Haney from Green Acres. Haney was a farmer, turned salesman, turned con-man. He knew the art of sales, and could easily have sold you a mixture of good and bad stuff. In this case, we are at least entertained by Trump, and often surprised that whatever he's selling....seems to be working.
Can America function in this landscape of disbelief? I have my doubts.
A large percentage of folks don't have much trust in the FBI, the State Department, the CIA, various religious groups, Judges, Amazon, Facebook, Google, Democracy, their local cops, or the banks.
You have various HR folks within companies who are viewing the approaching 'snowflakes' coming in for interviews, and rate them as 'losers'. Safe-space talk? Blacks lives matter? Non-belief.
Newspapers, long saddled with the responsibility of delivering voters to certain political parties? They are slowly dying off because the public seems to be in a period of non-believability.
The problem here is that you have a fairly dysfunctional political system in existence today.....with people in a state of disbelief. Both political parties have worked hard to commit people to a landscape of non-believability. Just the image of Senator McCain on a Sunday talk-show last year.....was enough for a fair number of Republican-voters to start laughing.
This past week, with FBI-super-agent Strozek's performance, people fell into a pit of non-believability.
Have we hit bottom yet? That's the thing about it.....I don't think so. And that might bother some folks....to think it's going to get worse.
You could have some Senator talking about some great 'evil', and just sit there grinning because out of his eight-minute hype....he probably made one single point of believability, and the rest of this was mostly all 'BS'.
You could have some sports authority giving a big long talk on something, and by the end....you sit and analyze his commentary....coming to the position that 98-percent of his evidence is fraudulent or non-existent.
You could have some 60-Minutes 'talker' (I used to call their people journalists), who weaves up some story over nine minutes, and then you come to this opinion as the commercial finally comes up....it was all fake news.
I think things went this way in the 1990s with President Clinton, and then went deeper into the pit of non-belief, with President Bush and President Obama. Even with candidates like Bernie Sanders and Hillary Clinton, you got more or less a double-dose of non-believability.
Trump? In a way, he's functioning like Mister Haney from Green Acres. Haney was a farmer, turned salesman, turned con-man. He knew the art of sales, and could easily have sold you a mixture of good and bad stuff. In this case, we are at least entertained by Trump, and often surprised that whatever he's selling....seems to be working.
Can America function in this landscape of disbelief? I have my doubts.
A large percentage of folks don't have much trust in the FBI, the State Department, the CIA, various religious groups, Judges, Amazon, Facebook, Google, Democracy, their local cops, or the banks.
You have various HR folks within companies who are viewing the approaching 'snowflakes' coming in for interviews, and rate them as 'losers'. Safe-space talk? Blacks lives matter? Non-belief.
Newspapers, long saddled with the responsibility of delivering voters to certain political parties? They are slowly dying off because the public seems to be in a period of non-believability.
The problem here is that you have a fairly dysfunctional political system in existence today.....with people in a state of disbelief. Both political parties have worked hard to commit people to a landscape of non-believability. Just the image of Senator McCain on a Sunday talk-show last year.....was enough for a fair number of Republican-voters to start laughing.
This past week, with FBI-super-agent Strozek's performance, people fell into a pit of non-believability.
Have we hit bottom yet? That's the thing about it.....I don't think so. And that might bother some folks....to think it's going to get worse.
Saturday, 14 July 2018
A Brief Moment Over Trump
A couple of days ago, on my German blog....I wrote up a piece on a developing show for the public TV system in Germany....called 'Germany Speaks'. The basic set-up of this is the belief by the leadership and intellectuals of Germany....that Germans can't come to a rational centerpoint on serious topics. Yes, they have the belief that you can produce a situation....a dozen facts....some argument, and then everyone would reach some basic conclusion (agreeable).
I kinda laughed when this was laid out because it means that both sides have to be tolerant of the topic and the outcome.
So the 23rd of September (Sunday) is the scheduled show. There are six topics. I imagine they will set aside roughly three hours on public TV that afternoon. They've put out surveys to poll people....in an attempt to bring in folks to some studio and discuss the issues.
All six topics are loaded. One of them is the intellectual idea being pushed by by various agenda groups to tax meat products more heavily....to persuade people to eat less meat. My brother.....the full-time engineer, part-time farmer....would likely ask what the heck they are smoking? How would adding a six or eight percent tax on T-bone....result in you eating less? German logic here....by intellectuals...is that anytime you tax something, people use less of it. It is basically true that the cost of living is now so high, that no one is much interested in having more than one or two kids, and a growing number of folks suggest no kids....so maybe the intellectuals have a small point on this.
But one of the six questions is this: is Trump good for America? Note, the question doesn't say good for Germans or for Germany.
The curious problem here for intellectuals in Germany....well....Hillary didn't win. Since November 2016, this has been a problem for them to accept and hour-by-hour, the Trump situation bothers them. Thanks to the use of public TV (ARD and ZDF)....they've kept their anxiety and stress at peak form (yes, 21 months straight now).
In some way, via this public forum, they hope to get the right discussion going and a large segment of German society (even the 30-odd percent who just don't think this is much of a thing to worry or have anxiety over) convinced to go one single direction.
My argument, if I got dragged into forum?
1. All elections, whether in the UK, Germany, France, Russia, or the US....have consequences. Someone wins....someone loses. In a democratic country with values....you kinda have to suck it up and move on with life.
2. This effort by the German public TV folks (ZDF and ARD) in early spring to do the comical news pieces on candidate Trump, and laugh over his speeches? Did you really think that made your viewers aware of the real situation developing in the US? Where did you get the update material? Washington Post, CNN?
3. After the summer smoke of 2016 cleared, and you (public German TV news) went on the remarkable news hype of a 90-percent of a Hillary win....how exactly do you think German viewers saw your coverage on the day after the election? Every single thing you predicted....failed. You couldn't even say why...other than suggesting that all these voters were 'stupid'? How 'stupid' does that make the public TV news media in Germany?
4. In the 500-plus days of the Trump administration and the three-million jobs created so far (anticipating another one-million additional jobs by spring 2019)....why did Bush or Obama not take the same route? Facts please. They each had eight years....yet they were not hyped up to do the job? Really?
5. After NAFTA went into affect, just how many US jobs left the US over the next decade? The general talk by business analysts goes between one and two million jobs. How do you think people remember the era? So when candidate Trump came around and discussed the terminal nature of NAFTA....people paid attention. Why didn't candidate Clinton discuss this? She had well over a year, and could not bring herself to talk about this problem.
6. The tariff woes? All President Trump laid out was a open path....no tariffs for any party. Ask the business folks of Germany (all industries) and the political folks....why they can't allow that to occur? If they can't explain this in one hundred words or less....you might need to fire them.
7. The American disconnect on the news media? From Republican voters, barely 15-percent think that the news media in the US is unbiased. From independent voters, it barely reaches 30-percent thinking they are unbiased. Even Democratic voters will agree only to around fifty-to-fifty-five percent of the news media is unbiased. Who reads the NY Times and Washington Post? Ask them what their current brand value is worth....on the last time they sold their operations. Who watches CNN? Right now....the Food Network is pulling in more viewers.
8. A disconnect on Washington solving problems? Here's the shocker....once you leave DC and go out into small towns and rural areas....the bulk of people tend to think that Washington is broken (they don't just mean the Democratic Party and the Republican Party....they mean the whole system). These people see Trump as a 'thug' against the entire system. They want the 'bull' turned loose in a crystal shop.
9. Go ask around what the 'red-pill' and '#walkaway' situations are about. These are former Democrats who are just fed-up and deciding on a new path as a Republican. How many? There's no real way to estimate this, but one might suggest a million-plus Hillary-voters from 2016....have walked away.
10. To the final emphasis here. A German doesn't need to worry much about this. In fact, to an American, it's odd that you want to drag this question up....instead of asking 'is Chancellor Merkel good for Germany'. The last time I looked....more than 60-percent of Germans polled....wanted a change in Chancellor. It's just odd how dramatic the public TV sector in Germany keeps wanting to hype the evil-Trump dialog....to keep focus on something else. You'd almost think.....well....that there was some stupid agenda tied to this forum question. Silly me....where would I get some crazy idea like that?
I kinda laughed when this was laid out because it means that both sides have to be tolerant of the topic and the outcome.
So the 23rd of September (Sunday) is the scheduled show. There are six topics. I imagine they will set aside roughly three hours on public TV that afternoon. They've put out surveys to poll people....in an attempt to bring in folks to some studio and discuss the issues.
All six topics are loaded. One of them is the intellectual idea being pushed by by various agenda groups to tax meat products more heavily....to persuade people to eat less meat. My brother.....the full-time engineer, part-time farmer....would likely ask what the heck they are smoking? How would adding a six or eight percent tax on T-bone....result in you eating less? German logic here....by intellectuals...is that anytime you tax something, people use less of it. It is basically true that the cost of living is now so high, that no one is much interested in having more than one or two kids, and a growing number of folks suggest no kids....so maybe the intellectuals have a small point on this.
But one of the six questions is this: is Trump good for America? Note, the question doesn't say good for Germans or for Germany.
The curious problem here for intellectuals in Germany....well....Hillary didn't win. Since November 2016, this has been a problem for them to accept and hour-by-hour, the Trump situation bothers them. Thanks to the use of public TV (ARD and ZDF)....they've kept their anxiety and stress at peak form (yes, 21 months straight now).
In some way, via this public forum, they hope to get the right discussion going and a large segment of German society (even the 30-odd percent who just don't think this is much of a thing to worry or have anxiety over) convinced to go one single direction.
My argument, if I got dragged into forum?
1. All elections, whether in the UK, Germany, France, Russia, or the US....have consequences. Someone wins....someone loses. In a democratic country with values....you kinda have to suck it up and move on with life.
2. This effort by the German public TV folks (ZDF and ARD) in early spring to do the comical news pieces on candidate Trump, and laugh over his speeches? Did you really think that made your viewers aware of the real situation developing in the US? Where did you get the update material? Washington Post, CNN?
3. After the summer smoke of 2016 cleared, and you (public German TV news) went on the remarkable news hype of a 90-percent of a Hillary win....how exactly do you think German viewers saw your coverage on the day after the election? Every single thing you predicted....failed. You couldn't even say why...other than suggesting that all these voters were 'stupid'? How 'stupid' does that make the public TV news media in Germany?
4. In the 500-plus days of the Trump administration and the three-million jobs created so far (anticipating another one-million additional jobs by spring 2019)....why did Bush or Obama not take the same route? Facts please. They each had eight years....yet they were not hyped up to do the job? Really?
5. After NAFTA went into affect, just how many US jobs left the US over the next decade? The general talk by business analysts goes between one and two million jobs. How do you think people remember the era? So when candidate Trump came around and discussed the terminal nature of NAFTA....people paid attention. Why didn't candidate Clinton discuss this? She had well over a year, and could not bring herself to talk about this problem.
6. The tariff woes? All President Trump laid out was a open path....no tariffs for any party. Ask the business folks of Germany (all industries) and the political folks....why they can't allow that to occur? If they can't explain this in one hundred words or less....you might need to fire them.
7. The American disconnect on the news media? From Republican voters, barely 15-percent think that the news media in the US is unbiased. From independent voters, it barely reaches 30-percent thinking they are unbiased. Even Democratic voters will agree only to around fifty-to-fifty-five percent of the news media is unbiased. Who reads the NY Times and Washington Post? Ask them what their current brand value is worth....on the last time they sold their operations. Who watches CNN? Right now....the Food Network is pulling in more viewers.
8. A disconnect on Washington solving problems? Here's the shocker....once you leave DC and go out into small towns and rural areas....the bulk of people tend to think that Washington is broken (they don't just mean the Democratic Party and the Republican Party....they mean the whole system). These people see Trump as a 'thug' against the entire system. They want the 'bull' turned loose in a crystal shop.
9. Go ask around what the 'red-pill' and '#walkaway' situations are about. These are former Democrats who are just fed-up and deciding on a new path as a Republican. How many? There's no real way to estimate this, but one might suggest a million-plus Hillary-voters from 2016....have walked away.
10. To the final emphasis here. A German doesn't need to worry much about this. In fact, to an American, it's odd that you want to drag this question up....instead of asking 'is Chancellor Merkel good for Germany'. The last time I looked....more than 60-percent of Germans polled....wanted a change in Chancellor. It's just odd how dramatic the public TV sector in Germany keeps wanting to hype the evil-Trump dialog....to keep focus on something else. You'd almost think.....well....that there was some stupid agenda tied to this forum question. Silly me....where would I get some crazy idea like that?
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