Here on Wednesday of next week, a great deal of drama will unfold as the analysts sit and pick over the results of the 2018 campaign period. One question laying there.....did the campaign effort of former President Obama help or hinder Democrats?
I've viewed three of these campaign stop speeches by former President Obama over the past month, and noted that the camera angles selected.....marginalize the counting of people at the rally. It might be five-thousand folks showing up.....it might be 500 people showing up. You just can't say.
If there are no real gains in the House for Democrats (I'm suggesting perhaps five to ten seats flipping over to the Democrats at best)....then was the act of bringing in former President Obama a mistake? I don't think so. There are certain particular areas that I would label as Obama-impact 'zones'. Across all fifty states? No. But I would suggest that there are probably twenty small urban zones in the US where some speech by President Obama might persuade another 10,000 voters in some region to show up (when they weren't interested), and vote Democrat.
But if we get to Wednesday and find zero seats gained? It'll be hard for the Democrats to talk over future use of former President Obama.
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