Thursday 30 April 2020

186 Days And Counting

We have 186 days until the 3 November election date.  The ten things I might go and 'predict':

1.  There's ten states which I see in dire circumstances by 3 November (all 'blue' states).  The tax revenue bucket will be screwed up, and funds to pay state employees by that point will non-existent.  Essential things like police and safety folks will be paid.....but I might take a guess that funding for state colleges in these states will be cut in a drastic way.  Tuition, probably will go up in some NY state public colleges by 25-percent.

2.  Joe Biden will be replaced....probably around the convention or shortly after that.  Stacey Abrams is the likely 'filler'.  A lot of the people who did the debates and paid millions for the primary run will be furious how this was arranged.

3.  Goggle, Facebook and Twitter will likely lay off one-third of their employees because general downward trends on advertising.  A lot of their 'dedicated' people will be hostile about being dumped, and expose a lot of their inside problems.

4.  Start expecting gas stations to curtail hours, and it'll run this way in states limiting their economies.  Don't be shocked if your local station which was open from 5 AM to 9 PM....flips to a 6 AM to 6 PM deal.  Same with donut shops lessening their hours.

5.  A small 'collapse' of the housing market will start up by mid-summer, and another bubble will likely occur.....but again in the same states or markets that existed in the problem period of 2008.

6.  A number of lawsuits will start up against deaths in retirement homes, triggering operators to start shut-downs.  Don't be shocked if 10 to 20 percent of homes are curtailed or shut-down by the last quarter of 2020.

7.  NFL in 2020?  At best, they will run 'ghost' games, with no fans allowed in the stadiums.  Even baseball action is hard to figure at this point.  For the minor leagues....it's dismal for 2020. 

8. This absentee ballot/mail ballot chatter?  You will see it pushed a good bit, but the majority of states won't buy into this.  They will instead offer early voting. 

9.  At least 70 Democrats in the House are looking at the end of their period in Washington, and will be replaced.

10.  Finally, some Democrats will breath a sigh of relief once Trump wins.....there's only four years left of his period. 

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