Saturday, 24 September 2022

This NY State Case Against Trump

 After the smoke has cleared....what the AG (Letita James) has built up is a collapsible case.  

For those who aren't aware.....it's an election year in New York state, and if you gaze at the polling data....the Republican candidate for state AG....went into a more aggressive position, and about ten days ago....AG James move down to a percentage point less than the Republican (Henry).  

Just for the record, back in July....James was 'safe' at 50-percent, while Henry (the Republican) was at 36-percent.

So James needs a serious amount of plus-up, and I believe her intent is that she'd convince people to vote for her....in order to get Trump or his kids....in jail.

What'll happen on 9 November (the day after the election)?  Based on trends.....I'd say that the current AG (James) will lose by 5-to-7 percent.  The Trump case?  Come January....will be dumped.  

What James really misjudged?  Maybe Democrats get hyped-up on this chatter, but among independents....it's just not selling much.  

What was the Trump case mostly based on?  Well....that Trump over-stated the value of his company or assets, and got better deals via banks because of that.  

The problem I see....if you made this a big deal....out of NY City, there's probably 25,000 business operations which have inflated themselves and tried to make themselves look better than what they are.  Trump might be guilty....but what about the other 25,000?  

So this case dissolves away?  Yeah, and in two years.....no one will remember much of anything.  

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