There are two Biden 'brands'.....one from 2020....and one that fits into the 2024 election cycle. Selling each....requires a different approach.
For each hundred folks that voted for Joe Bien in 2020....I would suggest from the independent side....more than half question his mental stability, and from the Democratic voter side....at least one in ten are shaking their head.
So getting 81.2-million votes a possibility in 2024? I consider it near impossible. Plus you have to discount the Covid trend that was mandated in most states.
How many fewer voters? That's not possible to gauge, but it wouldn't really shock me if we were talking three or four fewer states in the Biden-win column, and a loss of 10-percent of the 81.2-million votes.
But this leads me to the shock-value sudden episode developing....something where Biden suddenly announces in January of 2024.....he's got ill health, and pulls out suddenly.....to allow Governor Newsom to suddenly appear.
I sat this past week and counted around a dozen different scenarios....where you could imagine the whole landscape changed in a matter of 24 hours, and the news media just grinning.
I could even see Biden arriving at the Convention in mid-summer 2024....announcing then he's bad-off, opening the Convention to Newsom getting the shock nomination.
So prepare yourself....whatever you see today as the likely scenario...probably will not be reality in mid-2024.
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