Sunday, 28 May 2023

Iran-Afghanistan?

 While not being covered by the big news folks.....in the past day or two....Afghanistan has moved a massive number of military vehicles (mostly trucks, jeeps, and armored-personnel-carriers) to the Iran border.  

If you browse around, there is a war-lord in Afghanistan who is chatting up the idea of marching onto Tehran.  Distance?  Roughly a 15-hour drive, around 1,100 km.

BS?  There are four angles to this:

1.  The US left behind a ton of military hardware (mostly trucks and APCs).  Rather than disabling the stuff.....it was left for re-use.

2.  Once crossing the border, I'd anticipate Iran to react and defend the border region. So that 15-hour drive will easily turn into a 7-to-12 day event....with the Afghan guys never getting more than five miles into Iran.  I don't think Afghanistan has the logistics to support this.

3.  Isn't this mostly a chat about the Taliban wanting to conquer and run Iran....saying they are more Muslim?  

4.  Is Iran capable of defending itself?  With budget problems, I don't think Iran has spent a lot over the past decade on military infrastructure.  

This may be a 'joke' in several ways, but if this crew were to cross the border....it just begs the question....how much was this organized by the CIA....more than a year ago?

All of this....just a week-long episode to hype war but never carrying it out?  Yeah, I'd say that.  

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