1. The odds of airline reservations picking up by mid-summer?
Look, just using Delta as an example....around late April, they'd cut 70-percent of flights. You'd have to go and swear to folks that it's all 'fine' to sit next to some guy on the left and right of you. Out of a hundred folks asked with the question, I would imagine that 80-percent would say that they'd only travel in a situation like this.....if this were serious (like some relative bad-off).
In this case, it's the fear, more than reality that is bothering folks. Then you add to it....some TSA dimwit who seems all-sweaty to you.....wanting to check your britches, and touching in various ways.
So I just don't see a 50-percent flight plan being possible until early in 2021. Can the airlines wait like that? Probably not.
2. This dip in Common Core testing....serious?
Basically, math and grammar skills are going down, in a trend-sort-of-way. Unless something happens in the next year or two.....I don't see Common Core surviving.
As for the next phase? Probably something called Common Core-Plus, and trying to convince you that things will improve, if you shove more money into this program.
Here's the thing, when you deliver 'Ricky' to college and they test him....saying he's got terrible skills in English and math....it can only lead to one thing. You will have to place Ricky in some stupid high-school-like class at the college and spend $3,000 paying for two to three classes for Ricky to get smart enough to attend college.
What was high school about? Nothing....it's there to baby-sit Ricky and you will eventually have to pay for some fake school existing between high-school and college....to make up for the fraudulent schooling that exists today.
3. Is it true that you are 4.8 times more likely to die from the Coroniavirus, if your governor is a Democrat?
Someone did the numbers business and came to this analysis. Now, there are some problems with this.
First, you could be in Alabama, where we have a fake Republican pretending to be such.....when she is mostly a blue-Democrat pretending to be a Republican.
Second, some states are faking their death numbers, by saying when you died of a heart attack....it was Corona instead.
Finally, if this were ALL TRUE.....you'd suddenly get tens of thousands of people up and leaving Democratic states. So don't start such a story and pass it around. Those fools need to stay where they are.
Saturday, 2 May 2020
Simply Observations
1. Anything odd about these demonstrations going on?
Well....they appear to be in states with Democratic governors. All of them. So, it is a bit odd.
2. Are these interview helping or hurting Biden?
Just the viewpoint of a southerner.....but he just looks like he's 95 years old (he's actually 77). And that's with makeup on.
3. Whats the relationship between dying of Coronavirus or dying of regular disease in India?
From 2017 numbers, roughly 9-million folks a year who die in India from disease. So far in 2020, from world totals.....around 240,000 folks have died.
4. This 'Morning Joe' piece where Mika asks the sexual assault question....does Joe do well?
Well.....he came out looking like some 4-year-old kid who'd had seven cookies stolen out of grandma's cookie-jar. I actually felt sorry for the guy, and just shaking my head over Mika.....she had to ask the question and it really lessen Joe's reputation.
5. Meat rationing coming to GI's commissary operations outside of the US?
Well....NOT yet. But if you walk into a commissary by mid-day (in Germany), the meat area is mostly bare. Now, the odd thing here, if you walk into a German grocery.....man, there's tons of pork and beef sitting there.
6. There's some rumor that the Oscars have flipped the rules on voting....true or false?
Well, they made this funny rule that a movie doesn't necessarily have to be released in the theaters. So a TV movie, or a streaming release, or virtually anything....can be voted upon.
Now, it's just me saying this.....but Ricky Gervais's 'Afterlife' ought to be put up for a Oscar, but it's done into segments, and there's six episodes to season two.
7. What did Eva Murray say about Joe Biden?
Lets not get excited, but Eva says that at age fourteen.....Joe complimented her on the size of her boobs. Now, this was in 2008, and at some dinner function....maybe Joe was hyped up on cocktails, and just said something minor.
Maybe Joe says stuff like that a lot. Course, it makes you wonder, if Joe said to 100 14-year-old gals.....what's the statistical odds that five would have winked at him and pointed to some broom-closet in the party area? Let's try hard not to think about such a scenario.
Well....they appear to be in states with Democratic governors. All of them. So, it is a bit odd.
2. Are these interview helping or hurting Biden?
Just the viewpoint of a southerner.....but he just looks like he's 95 years old (he's actually 77). And that's with makeup on.
3. Whats the relationship between dying of Coronavirus or dying of regular disease in India?
From 2017 numbers, roughly 9-million folks a year who die in India from disease. So far in 2020, from world totals.....around 240,000 folks have died.
4. This 'Morning Joe' piece where Mika asks the sexual assault question....does Joe do well?
Well.....he came out looking like some 4-year-old kid who'd had seven cookies stolen out of grandma's cookie-jar. I actually felt sorry for the guy, and just shaking my head over Mika.....she had to ask the question and it really lessen Joe's reputation.
5. Meat rationing coming to GI's commissary operations outside of the US?
Well....NOT yet. But if you walk into a commissary by mid-day (in Germany), the meat area is mostly bare. Now, the odd thing here, if you walk into a German grocery.....man, there's tons of pork and beef sitting there.
6. There's some rumor that the Oscars have flipped the rules on voting....true or false?
Well, they made this funny rule that a movie doesn't necessarily have to be released in the theaters. So a TV movie, or a streaming release, or virtually anything....can be voted upon.
Now, it's just me saying this.....but Ricky Gervais's 'Afterlife' ought to be put up for a Oscar, but it's done into segments, and there's six episodes to season two.
7. What did Eva Murray say about Joe Biden?
Lets not get excited, but Eva says that at age fourteen.....Joe complimented her on the size of her boobs. Now, this was in 2008, and at some dinner function....maybe Joe was hyped up on cocktails, and just said something minor.
Maybe Joe says stuff like that a lot. Course, it makes you wonder, if Joe said to 100 14-year-old gals.....what's the statistical odds that five would have winked at him and pointed to some broom-closet in the party area? Let's try hard not to think about such a scenario.
Friday, 1 May 2020
Biden's Economic Intercourse Situation
I sat for several days trying to understand what economic intercourse meant?
So this is the plain-blunt Alabama explanation for it: economic intercourse is a theory of exchange....where you are going to give up something of value (maybe cash, maybe booze, maybe your dignity, maybe your honor).....to get something that you seem to think is of 'more' value, but not readily proven or factual.
It's like you hook up with a trailer-trash gal, who seems to know a few extra tricks in life, and marry her.....thinking trailer-trash thing won't really bother you in the long run.
Or, it's like you agree to just stay permanently unemployed and getting $1,200 a month from the government to just lounge on the porch of your 'shack' and not feel dishonored over the 'free' money.
The problem is....you never quiet know the value of anything. You assume 'free' stuff is great but never ask questions. You also reach a level of always questioning how this exchange will ever get you ahead in life. On top of that, you generally rely upon some idiot who tells you values and information....who might be lying to you.
The trouble here is that we all do this in our lives, and each time we screw up.....we go back to the bar.....sip heavily upon whiskey and promise that we will never repeat that mistake again. Then the next day, we go and think about more economic intercourse, and try to persuade ourselves that value and self-respect will work out once again.
So this is the plain-blunt Alabama explanation for it: economic intercourse is a theory of exchange....where you are going to give up something of value (maybe cash, maybe booze, maybe your dignity, maybe your honor).....to get something that you seem to think is of 'more' value, but not readily proven or factual.
It's like you hook up with a trailer-trash gal, who seems to know a few extra tricks in life, and marry her.....thinking trailer-trash thing won't really bother you in the long run.
Or, it's like you agree to just stay permanently unemployed and getting $1,200 a month from the government to just lounge on the porch of your 'shack' and not feel dishonored over the 'free' money.
The problem is....you never quiet know the value of anything. You assume 'free' stuff is great but never ask questions. You also reach a level of always questioning how this exchange will ever get you ahead in life. On top of that, you generally rely upon some idiot who tells you values and information....who might be lying to you.
The trouble here is that we all do this in our lives, and each time we screw up.....we go back to the bar.....sip heavily upon whiskey and promise that we will never repeat that mistake again. Then the next day, we go and think about more economic intercourse, and try to persuade ourselves that value and self-respect will work out once again.
Thursday, 30 April 2020
The Problem With NY Cancelling the 'Primary'
Here's the thing....the normal primary would have occurred on 23 June. So what the state has said....there is NOT to be a presidential primary vote. There will just be a mail-in/absentee ballot for all other offices.
The fact that you could have included both the Republican and Democratic Presidential vote in this primary? That seems lost at this point.
If you were in the state and had paid attention to all of those debates in 2019....you'd be shaking your head because that attention given....means nothing at this point, it's Joe Biden or nothing.
Future debates? I would suggest that you flip the TV off and just read a book.
If anything, this proves the necessity of having all 50-state primary votes in a two-week period of May. Literally thousands of man-hours spent on the preparation for the debates in 2019, and various 'expert' chatter on the networks.....which really mean nothing at this point.
The fact that you could have included both the Republican and Democratic Presidential vote in this primary? That seems lost at this point.
If you were in the state and had paid attention to all of those debates in 2019....you'd be shaking your head because that attention given....means nothing at this point, it's Joe Biden or nothing.
Future debates? I would suggest that you flip the TV off and just read a book.
If anything, this proves the necessity of having all 50-state primary votes in a two-week period of May. Literally thousands of man-hours spent on the preparation for the debates in 2019, and various 'expert' chatter on the networks.....which really mean nothing at this point.
Gullibility
I sat through a YouTube video this past week, and the topic of gullibility came up. Someone wanted to suggest that it's reached a stage where people are seriously affected by gullibility, and that you need to reach out to people.....to bring them back to a state of reality (or really a new fresh stage of gullibility).
That's the chief problem with this discussion.....are you gullible right now, or would you allow yourself to believe you are gullible then flip into a serious state of new gullibility?
Can we even rate your gullibility situation (one to ten)?
Do more gullible folks come from California than Alabama?
Could you spend eight years at some college....getting a PhD, and emerge as a highly gullible smart guy?
Could you be a US Senator and a top-notch gullible idiot?
Are both political parties taking advantage of your gullibility?
Are TV networks consumed with influencing your gullibility?
We live in an unusual age where people are counting you on your gullibility and their whole lifestyle and success are set to your gullibility.
My advice....ask more questions. If it sounds pretty stupid or fake, then it probably is stupid or fake.
That's the chief problem with this discussion.....are you gullible right now, or would you allow yourself to believe you are gullible then flip into a serious state of new gullibility?
Can we even rate your gullibility situation (one to ten)?
Do more gullible folks come from California than Alabama?
Could you spend eight years at some college....getting a PhD, and emerge as a highly gullible smart guy?
Could you be a US Senator and a top-notch gullible idiot?
Are both political parties taking advantage of your gullibility?
Are TV networks consumed with influencing your gullibility?
We live in an unusual age where people are counting you on your gullibility and their whole lifestyle and success are set to your gullibility.
My advice....ask more questions. If it sounds pretty stupid or fake, then it probably is stupid or fake.
186 Days And Counting
We have 186 days until the 3 November election date. The ten things I might go and 'predict':
1. There's ten states which I see in dire circumstances by 3 November (all 'blue' states). The tax revenue bucket will be screwed up, and funds to pay state employees by that point will non-existent. Essential things like police and safety folks will be paid.....but I might take a guess that funding for state colleges in these states will be cut in a drastic way. Tuition, probably will go up in some NY state public colleges by 25-percent.
2. Joe Biden will be replaced....probably around the convention or shortly after that. Stacey Abrams is the likely 'filler'. A lot of the people who did the debates and paid millions for the primary run will be furious how this was arranged.
3. Goggle, Facebook and Twitter will likely lay off one-third of their employees because general downward trends on advertising. A lot of their 'dedicated' people will be hostile about being dumped, and expose a lot of their inside problems.
4. Start expecting gas stations to curtail hours, and it'll run this way in states limiting their economies. Don't be shocked if your local station which was open from 5 AM to 9 PM....flips to a 6 AM to 6 PM deal. Same with donut shops lessening their hours.
5. A small 'collapse' of the housing market will start up by mid-summer, and another bubble will likely occur.....but again in the same states or markets that existed in the problem period of 2008.
6. A number of lawsuits will start up against deaths in retirement homes, triggering operators to start shut-downs. Don't be shocked if 10 to 20 percent of homes are curtailed or shut-down by the last quarter of 2020.
7. NFL in 2020? At best, they will run 'ghost' games, with no fans allowed in the stadiums. Even baseball action is hard to figure at this point. For the minor leagues....it's dismal for 2020.
8. This absentee ballot/mail ballot chatter? You will see it pushed a good bit, but the majority of states won't buy into this. They will instead offer early voting.
9. At least 70 Democrats in the House are looking at the end of their period in Washington, and will be replaced.
10. Finally, some Democrats will breath a sigh of relief once Trump wins.....there's only four years left of his period.
1. There's ten states which I see in dire circumstances by 3 November (all 'blue' states). The tax revenue bucket will be screwed up, and funds to pay state employees by that point will non-existent. Essential things like police and safety folks will be paid.....but I might take a guess that funding for state colleges in these states will be cut in a drastic way. Tuition, probably will go up in some NY state public colleges by 25-percent.
2. Joe Biden will be replaced....probably around the convention or shortly after that. Stacey Abrams is the likely 'filler'. A lot of the people who did the debates and paid millions for the primary run will be furious how this was arranged.
3. Goggle, Facebook and Twitter will likely lay off one-third of their employees because general downward trends on advertising. A lot of their 'dedicated' people will be hostile about being dumped, and expose a lot of their inside problems.
4. Start expecting gas stations to curtail hours, and it'll run this way in states limiting their economies. Don't be shocked if your local station which was open from 5 AM to 9 PM....flips to a 6 AM to 6 PM deal. Same with donut shops lessening their hours.
5. A small 'collapse' of the housing market will start up by mid-summer, and another bubble will likely occur.....but again in the same states or markets that existed in the problem period of 2008.
6. A number of lawsuits will start up against deaths in retirement homes, triggering operators to start shut-downs. Don't be shocked if 10 to 20 percent of homes are curtailed or shut-down by the last quarter of 2020.
7. NFL in 2020? At best, they will run 'ghost' games, with no fans allowed in the stadiums. Even baseball action is hard to figure at this point. For the minor leagues....it's dismal for 2020.
8. This absentee ballot/mail ballot chatter? You will see it pushed a good bit, but the majority of states won't buy into this. They will instead offer early voting.
9. At least 70 Democrats in the House are looking at the end of their period in Washington, and will be replaced.
10. Finally, some Democrats will breath a sigh of relief once Trump wins.....there's only four years left of his period.
The 70/30 Situation
According to a study done.....roughly 70-percent of Democrats say that they can't date, hang-out, or marry-up with a GOP guy/gal. That puts 30-percent in the other bucket....they could go and have some kinda relationship with the GOP guy/gal.
There was a study done back in 2016, talking over this issue.
In that situation, they asked both groups about marriages.
Republican guys? In thirty-percent of cases, they were married to a Republican gal.
Democratic guys? In twenty-five percent of cases, they were married to a Democrat gal.
So if you were looking for a Republican guy married to a Democrat gal....that only occurred in 6-percent of cases.
Looking for a Democratic guy married to a Republic gal.....that only occurred in 3-percent of cases.
I worked with a gal around a decade ago who was approaching 35, and still single. She admitted that finding the right guy was now next to impossible. He had to show zero interest in sports, not smoke, have no bad habits, owe no real debt, and only marginally drink alcohol (wine was it). She also admitted along the way that he had to have marginal interest in politics, like cats, and be handsome. I commented to her....that this filtering system of hers would ensure no guy ever got through.
Looking at this Democrat versus Republican thing....man, this would be tearing some die-hard women apart at age 25.....meeting up with a dynamic 30-year old guy....successful, charming, mildly interested in sports, no debt, able to cook 50 different dishes in the kitchen, likes cats, and even plays the banjo.....only to discover that he's fairly dedicated to Trump.
There was a study done back in 2016, talking over this issue.
In that situation, they asked both groups about marriages.
Republican guys? In thirty-percent of cases, they were married to a Republican gal.
Democratic guys? In twenty-five percent of cases, they were married to a Democrat gal.
So if you were looking for a Republican guy married to a Democrat gal....that only occurred in 6-percent of cases.
Looking for a Democratic guy married to a Republic gal.....that only occurred in 3-percent of cases.
I worked with a gal around a decade ago who was approaching 35, and still single. She admitted that finding the right guy was now next to impossible. He had to show zero interest in sports, not smoke, have no bad habits, owe no real debt, and only marginally drink alcohol (wine was it). She also admitted along the way that he had to have marginal interest in politics, like cats, and be handsome. I commented to her....that this filtering system of hers would ensure no guy ever got through.
Looking at this Democrat versus Republican thing....man, this would be tearing some die-hard women apart at age 25.....meeting up with a dynamic 30-year old guy....successful, charming, mildly interested in sports, no debt, able to cook 50 different dishes in the kitchen, likes cats, and even plays the banjo.....only to discover that he's fairly dedicated to Trump.
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