Saturday 18 April 2020

Joe, the Interview, and the Virtual Convention

I went back and viewed an interview this week....via CNN, with Anderson Cooper, Doctor Sanjay Gupta, and Joe Biden.  It was a simple format, and extremely 'soft' questions.  All Joe had to do is just speak in easy solutions, and state some impact points.

It went badly.

It was obvious that Joe had the questions ahead of time, and his people had a written response.  Joe got about one sentence into the answer....then went 'gasping' for the rest of the thought/solution....looking down at the paper to remind him of what to say.  You could tell that both Cooper and Gupta were trying hard to keep their facial impressions and not act puzzled.

Joe was unfocused, and marginally able to 'perform'.

What's this lead onto?  There's not much doubt in me to believe in the latter part of 2019....Joe Biden had some type of mini-stroke, and his mental condition is deteriorating at a fairly good pace.   At 60 days ago, you could still see some lucid and positive moments with Joe and it was infrequent that he'd go 'off'.  I would make the estimate that in another sixty days....he'll be unable to make public appearances.  But that would put him up to the end of the primary and out of the 'mess'.

So lets talk about the virtual 'convention' that will occur.  It's a topic that no one in the news media wants to pick up or discuss.

My guess is that shortly after the last primary (Kentucky, 23 June)....states will begin to hold a session day.....where the 300-odd convention folks will meet in little groups around the state for a couple of hours.  They will 'elect' one or two individuals from each group, and the state's 300 group will likely drift down to around 20-total individuals.   I suspect all the states will generally go the same way.

The convention date is now 17 August.  Fifty of these groups will 'dial-in' and participate in the conference convention, with everyone else just 'watching'.

What I suspect is that Joe's family will announce on the first hour of the virtual convention that Joe accepts their vote, and has selected his VP.  It'll be a woman, and it's a fairly short list.  Yes, Hillary might be on the list, but there are a minimum of five I suspect.  The virtual convention will end after eight hours.  Speeches by Obama, Hillary, and a dozen other folks will be the highlight of the day.

Now, you notice....I said Joe's family will be the key figures at the convention.  I don't think Joe will show up, and that it'll turn into a rather odd deal where they say he's under the weather or has a fever.

A week into this new campaign period.....the family will appear with the DNC and just say Joe is finished, and can't continue.  The VP will step up....becoming the candidate, and at that point.....NY Governor Cuomo will be the VP.

No one in the news media will ask much about Joe's condition....it'll all be very hush-hush, and around a quarter of voters will ask what the hell was the whole primary about?

Joe appearing in public after mid-August?  No.  That's probably not going to happen. 

People will talk about this whole event for years to come and wonder how the news media just looked the other way.  It's amusing in some ways....it's tragic in other ways.

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