My humble view is that the Prime Minister of Greenland (Múte B. Egede) will have a face-to-face meeting with President Trump within four weeks of the inauguration. Egede will return to Greenland and within two weeks....announce that two matters will be pursued by the end of 2025.
First, a exit-plan and vote to leave Denmark....to be a independent country, with second ballot on the same day to determine if they remain within the EU or stay totally independent. This will happen by late 2025.
Second, a second vote will occur in early 2026....assuming they exit Denmark...on one of three options: (1) stay independent but build a close trade relationship with the US, (2) opt for a US territory/state situation, or (3) build a EU/US trade relationship while being independent.
On exiting Denmark....I'll go and predict that it passes by a factor of 75-percent or more.
The ballot to stay within the EU? Closer to 50-50.
Finally, I'm not convinced of the public there wanting a US-statehood situation. No one has ever polled folks, and while there is a fair amount of anti-Denmark negativity....I think people mostly want a independent status (like Iceland).
No comments:
Post a Comment