Based on commentary so far....the Elon 'crew' will not be running in all states for the 2026 election. So I'm going with five likely states with Senate races where they have an opportunity:
1. Alabama (since Tubby is leaving, there is opportunity).
2. Illinois (since Durban is leaving).
3. Maine (Collins can marginally win as it is currently).
4. Minnesota (Smith is leaving)
5. Colorado (Hickenlooper can marginally carry a win)
So.....two are GOP-held Senate seats.....three are Dem-held.
Likely Elon party players? For Illinois, Blagojevich. For Alabama, Mayor of Huntsville Tommy Battle. For Colorado, Trey Parker of South Park fame.
Who might be the biggest 'pro-Elon' crew to carry votes? College students. I would take a wild guess that in states like Colorado and Minnesota....at least 40-percent of the vote for Elon's party will be in the 18-to-25 age group.
As for the House? I don't think they will run in more than 18-to-20 House districts total.....with the 'hope' of winning 10-to-12 of that. Again, I suspect they will focus on districts with disgruntled voters, and a larger-than-average youth/student vote.
Finally, I doubt there are any real polling groups who can handle this type of scenario where only five states are carrying Elon candidates, and only 20-odd districts in this situation. I also don't think any financial resources will be wasted on TV/radio advertising....meaning this will be a high demand Twitter landscape.
2 comments:
I disagree with Blagojevich, imho. Although his conviction was commuted (by Trump!) and he can now run for office in IL again, the man is as crooked as a dog's hind leg. I suspect Elon might look at him as a possible candidate, but then drop him like the proverbial "hot potato." That's my opinion, anyway ...
I put Blago on the list...mostly because his name is known amongst three-quarters of state residents (no one under 25 knows the guy....ancient history to them). I would also note that neither the Dems or Rep's....would allow the guy on their candidate list....so he'd do this just to make a point.
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